AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 18:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.15 %

Entry

109.258

Target

108.696 +0.51 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.131 −1.71 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,506 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,506 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, HMA Retreat Down, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit +3 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 3 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 3 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 18:30 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	2.22
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.95
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.71
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.61
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.53
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	RSX OB Entry	indicator	0.95

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful cluster of seven bearish indicators fired on the 30-minute chart, signaling a high-probability short-term sell.
Higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h) are in solid bearish trends, supporting the downside bias.
The lower-timeframe bullish momentum is weak and may be fading, increasing the likelihood of a pullback.
Watch the nearest support at 108.69600 for a potential breakdown; a move above resistance at 111.13100 would invalidate the signal.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, ER Level Cross Up, RSX OB Entry, HMA Retreat Down, and a ZSCORE Extreme High Exit. This confluence points to a short-term pullback or reversal from overbought conditions, with momentum shifting lower. The signal is rated very strong with 88% probability, reflecting the alignment of these indicators.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish on the higher frames: the 2h, 4h, 8h, and 12h charts all show solid bearish trends, while the 15m and 30m are still bullish but with weak trend scores, suggesting the recent upside is corrective. The 1h is choppy, and the 1d is bearish but weak. This implies the lower-timeframe bullishness may be fading, and the higher-timeframe downtrend could resume. Key levels to watch are resistance at 111.13100 and support at 108.69600; a break below support would confirm further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of multiple bearish indicators (BOP, STOCHF, BBANDS, ER, RSX, HMA, ZSCORE) on the same timeframe.
▼ Higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h) are all in solid bearish trends, aligning with the short-term sell signal.
▼ Overbought conditions (RSX OB Entry, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit) suggest the recent rally is stretched and due for a correction.
▼ The signal's very strong strength and 88% probability reflect high conviction in the bearish move.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are still bullish, which could delay or override the short-term bearish signal.
▲ The 1h timeframe is choppy/sideways, offering little directional confirmation and increasing the risk of whipsaws.
▲ If price reclaims the nearest resistance at 111.13100, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade quickly if the higher-timeframe downtrend loses steam, especially with the 1d trend only weakly bearish.