AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 11× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 02:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.12 %

Entry

109.159

Target

108.397 +0.70 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.131 −1.81 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,411 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,411 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, ER Level Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 4 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 4 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 03:00 UTC, updated 11× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross	indicator	2.03
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.97
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	1.91
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.04
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.96
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	0.79

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals cluster on the 30M chart, but the higher timeframe trend is also bearish, aligning with a potential short-term sell opportunity.
The 30M bullish phase appears to be losing momentum, with multiple reversal patterns (Bearish Harami, Shooting Star) and momentum indicators turning down.
Key levels to watch: resistance at 111.13100 and support at 108.39700; a break below support could accelerate the decline.
The signal probability is 58% with weak strength, so traders should use tight risk management and wait for confirmation.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, DX Trend Strong, STOCHF KD Cross Down, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ OB Exit, and two candlestick patterns (Bearish Harami and Shooting Star). These signals suggest that selling pressure is building after a period of bullish momentum, as indicated by the SMA Cross 20/50 Golden Cross that fired earlier. The confluence of momentum, volatility, and candlestick reversal patterns points to a potential short-term pullback or reversal.

Across higher timeframes, the trend is bearish and solid on the 1H, 2H, and 4H charts, with trend scores of 3/5, while the 8H and 12H are also bearish but still forming. The 15M and 30M are bullish but choppy and weak, which may offer a pullback opportunity to join the larger downtrend. The nearest resistance is at 111.13100, and the nearest support is at 108.39700. A break below the recent swing low could open the path toward support, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Higher timeframe trend alignment: 1H, 2H, and 4H all show solid bearish trends, supporting the short-term sell signal.
▼ Confluence of reversal patterns: Bearish Harami and Shooting Star on the 30M chart add weight to the bearish momentum signals.
▼ Momentum indicators turning down: BOP, STOCHF, ER, and KDJ all indicate fading bullish momentum and potential downside continuation.
▼ Resistance level at 111.13100 offers a clear invalidation point; as long as price stays below, the bearish bias remains intact.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15M and 30M timeframes are still bullish, albeit weak and choppy, which could lead to a bounce before the downtrend resumes.
▲ The signal strength is weak (58% probability), so the move may lack conviction and could easily reverse.
▲ The Golden Cross (SMA 20/50) that fired earlier is a lagging bullish signal; if price fails to break below recent lows, the bullish structure may persist.
▲ A move above the nearest resistance at 111.13100 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger short covering, leading to a rally.