AUD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 03:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.14 %

Entry

0.68901

Target

0.68560 +0.49 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.70246 −1.95 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,411 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,411 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, T3 Break Down, DX Trend Weak +7 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 16h
13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 16h
15:00TomorrowUSDFed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speech●●○in 17h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.18
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.16
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.57
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.38
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.36
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.29
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.22
▼	Identical 3 Crows	candlestick	1.01
▼	Long Line Bearish	candlestick	0.90

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 30M chart with multiple indicators aligning for a sell.
Higher timeframes (2H-8H) are bearish, but the 1H is still bullish—mixed trend context.
Watch the 0.68560 support; a break below could accelerate downside.
Resistance at 0.68933 is the key invalidation level for the sell signal.

The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a very strong DX Trend Weak reading and a T3 Break Down, with ALMA and HMA confirming downside momentum. The KDJ Cross Down and ER Level Cross Up add to the bearish confluence, while the ACCBANDS Upper retreat indicates fading upside pressure. This concentration of indicators on the 30M timeframe suggests immediate selling pressure, with the nearest support at 0.68560 as the first downside target.

Across higher timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish. The 2H, 4H, and 8H charts all show solid bearish trends, while the 1H is still bullish but only solid (3/5). The 15M and 30M are bullish but only trend-forming (2/5), so the lower timeframes are not yet aligned with the sell signal. The bearish higher-timeframe trend provides a backdrop that supports the 30M sell, but the 1H bullish trend is a caution. Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.68933 and support at 0.68560; a break below support would extend the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ High signal probability (91%) and very strong strength score.
▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators (T3, ALMA, HMA, KDJ) on the 30M.
▼ Bearish trend alignment on 2H, 4H, and 8H timeframes.
▼ Price is below the nearest resistance, with room to test support.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1H timeframe is still bullish, which could counter the sell signal.
▲ Lower timeframes (15M, 30M) are bullish, suggesting possible short-term bounce.
▲ If price rises above the 0.68933 resistance, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade if the 30M trend turns, reducing the probability of a sustained drop.