AUD/USD – 8H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 2× UPDATED

2026-11-08 22:00 UTC 18 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.45 %

Entry

0.68881

Target

0.70680 +2.61 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.66921 −2.85 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 346 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 346 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.67 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.43 % 18 % at stop avg −0.63 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: RSI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 92 % (17.22) ▼ Bearish 8 % (1.40)

model score 92.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.6 % vs 18.9 % on average · stopped out 17.8 % vs 12.6 % (forex, 585 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 13h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 13h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI●●●Forecast 339.796Previous 338.896in 13h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.66
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.42
▼	TRIX Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.38
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	1.25
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.25
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.14
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.12

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple momentum and mean-reversion indicators align to signal a potential bullish reversal on the 8H chart.
The broader trend is bearish across higher timeframes, so this is a counter-trend signal with limited upside potential.
Key resistance at 0.70680 is the immediate hurdle; a break above could confirm the reversal.
Nearest support is undefined, so risk management is crucial in case the bounce fails.

The AUD/USD 8H signal has fired a cluster of momentum and mean-reversion indicators pointing to a potential bullish reversal. The BOP Zero Cross Up and RSI OS Exit indicate improving buying pressure and a shift from oversold conditions. The STOCH KD Cross Up and KDJ OS Exit further confirm bullish momentum, while the HMA Retreat Up and KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat suggest price is bouncing off the lower Bollinger/Keltner band. The TRIX Zero Cross Down and ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit highlight that the extreme downside move may be exhausting, with the Z-score returning from an extreme low. Together, these signals suggest a strong likelihood of a short-term upside correction or reversal.

However, the broader trend context remains firmly bearish, with all higher timeframes from 1H to 1D showing bearish trends, albeit with varying strength. The 8H itself is only trend-forming (2/5), meaning the bearish trend is not yet fully established. The nearest resistance at 0.70680 is a key level to watch; a break above could confirm the reversal, while failure to hold above this level could see the pair resume its downtrend. Traders should treat this as a counter-trend bounce within a larger bearish structure and manage risk accordingly.

Catalysts

▲ Cluster of bullish signals: BOP, RSI, STOCH, KDJ, HMA, KELTNER, TRIX, and ZSCORE all fire together, increasing confidence.
▲ Oversold conditions (RSI, KDJ, ZSCORE) suggest the downside move is overextended and due for a pullback.
▲ The 30M timeframe shows a bullish trend forming, providing a short-term tailwind.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H) are solidly bearish, which could overwhelm the counter-trend bounce.
▼ The 8H trend itself is only trend-forming, so the reversal is not yet confirmed.
▼ If price fails to break above 0.70680, the bullish signal could quickly fade and resume the downtrend.
▼ No defined support level means a sharp drop could catch traders off guard.