AVAX/USDT – 12H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 1× UPDATED

2026-11-09 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +2.04 %

Entry

8.0340

Target

11.7300 +46.00 %

closes in profit

Stop

7.1690 −10.77 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 9

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.06 % per trade 816 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 816 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

24 % at target avg +5.12 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.71 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.78 % 18 % at stop avg −5.96 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 24 of 100 across all crypto 12h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire, Spinning Top Bullish +3 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

38.0 % ↓ −29.1 vs previous candle

WEAK Position

▲ Bullish 93 % (39.28) ▼ Bearish 7 % (3.09)

model score 9.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 16.9 % vs 31.8 % on average · stopped out 32.4 % vs 22.8 % (crypto, 2,408 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

18:00TodayUSD10-Year Note Auction●●○in 1h
13:30November 12, 2026USDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day
15:00November 12, 2026USDExisting Home Sales●●○Forecast 4.04MPrevious 3.99Min 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 12:03 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.36
▲	SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire	indicator	1.35
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	1.21
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	0.99
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	0.81
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	0.61

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish reversal signals are firing on the 12H chart, but the broader trend remains bearish.
Watch the nearest resistance at 11.73000; a break above could confirm the reversal.
Support at 8.00000 is critical; losing it would invalidate the bullish setup.
Higher timeframe trends are still bearish, so treat this as a potential bounce, not a trend change.

The AVA/XUSDT 12H chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, and a Squeeze Fire, alongside a Bullish Harami and a Spinning Top Bullish candlestick pattern. These signals collectively suggest a potential reversal from oversold conditions, with the ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicating that price has moved back within a normal range after an extreme deviation. However, the broader trend remains bearish across most timeframes, with the 12H and 2H showing solid downtrends. The bullish signals are primarily short-term and may represent a corrective bounce rather than a full trend reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 11.73000 and support at 8.00000. A break above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, while a loss of support would invalidate the reversal setup. The mixed signals across timeframes call for caution; the bullish momentum is not yet confirmed by higher timeframe trend alignment. Traders should monitor price action closely for confirmation of the reversal before committing to long positions.

Catalysts

▲ Cluster of bullish signals: BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, and Squeeze Fire indicate improving momentum.
▲ Bullish Harami and Spinning Top Bullish candlestick patterns suggest buyer interest at current levels.
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit shows price returning to normal range after an oversold extreme.
▲ Strong signal strength (100% probability) adds weight to the bullish signals.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trends (12H, 2H) are bearish and solid, which could cap upside.
▼ The 1H and 2H timeframes are bearish, conflicting with the bullish 15m/30m signals.
▼ If price fails to break above 11.73000, the bounce could fade and resume the downtrend.
▼ A move below 8.00000 support would invalidate the bullish reversal and signal further downside.