AVAX/USDT – 1H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 17:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +2.11 %

Entry

8.6550

Target

7.7730 +10.19 %

closes in profit

Stop

9.1600 −5.83 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 crypto 1h signals ended in profit · on average +0.04 % per trade 7,442 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 7,442 closed crypto 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +1.64 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.47 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.49 % 22 % at stop avg −2.04 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: T3 Break Down, ALMA Break Down, KDJ Cross Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 16.9 % vs 31.8 % on average · stopped out 32.4 % vs 22.8 % (crypto, 2,408 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day
15:00TomorrowUSDExisting Home Sales●●○Forecast 4.04MPrevious 3.99Min 1 day
17:00TomorrowUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 18:03 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross	indicator	3.06
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.19
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.16
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.11
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.07
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.26
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.19
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.13
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.09
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.01

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple overbought indicators (CCI, Stochastic, Bollinger) are signaling a potential short-term pullback on the 1H chart.
The broader intraday trend (15m to 4h) is bullish, so this sell signal is likely a counter-trend correction, not a major reversal.
Watch the 7.77300 support level; a break below it would confirm the bearish move, while holding above could lead to a resumption of the uptrend.
Higher timeframes (12H and 1D) are bearish, which may limit the upside and increase the risk of a deeper decline.

The 1H SELL signal on AVA/USDT is firing despite a broadly bullish intraday structure across the 15m to 4h timeframes. The signal is driven by a cluster of overbought exit indicators—CCI, Stochastic, and Bollinger Band Upper retreat—along with a break below key moving averages (T3, ALMA, HMA) and a KDJ cross down. This suggests momentum is stalling at elevated levels, and the price may be poised for a short-term pullback. However, the bullish alignment on lower timeframes and the presence of a Golden Cross (20/50 SMA) indicate that the broader intraday trend is still upward, so this sell signal should be viewed as a counter-trend correction rather than a reversal.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 9.16000 and support at 7.77300. A break below the 7.77300 support would confirm a deeper correction and potentially shift the intraday bias lower. Conversely, if the price holds above the support and the overbought conditions resolve, the bullish trend could resume. The higher timeframes (12H and 1D) are bearish, which adds a layer of caution and suggests that any rally may be limited. The confluence of overbought signals and the retreat from the upper Bollinger Band supports the case for a short-term dip, but the weak strength and the bullish lower timeframe trend argue for a cautious approach.

Catalysts

▼ Strong cluster of overbought exit signals (CCI, Stochastic, Bollinger Upper) indicating exhaustion of buying momentum.
▼ Breakdown below multiple moving averages (T3, ALMA, HMA) and a KDJ cross down, confirming a loss of short-term bullish momentum.
▼ Resistance at 9.16000 is nearby, providing a clear level where sellers may step in.
▼ Higher timeframe bearish trend (12H and 1D) adds weight to the case for a pullback.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1H trend is still bullish, and the Golden Cross (20/50 SMA) suggests underlying strength, which could invalidate the sell signal.
▲ The signal strength is weak (probability 60%), so the pullback may be shallow or quickly reversed.
▲ If the price holds above support and the overbought conditions ease, the bullish trend could resume, making the sell signal less reliable.
▲ The invalidation level is above the recent highs; a break above 9.16000 would negate the bearish setup.