BCH/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 2× UPDATED

2026-11-09 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −1.12 %

Entry

241.60

Target

290.60 +20.28 %

closes in profit

Stop

233.61 −3.31 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 6 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,155 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,155 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.60 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.76 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.71 % 21 % at stop avg −3.66 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: CMO OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, CCI OS Exit +5 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

37.9 % ↑ +2.0 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 87 % (9.36) ▼ Bearish 13 % (1.35)

model score 8.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 7 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.8 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 43.8 % vs 22.8 % (crypto, 4,470 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for BCH/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%in 7h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.3%in 7h
13:30TodayUSDCPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.6%in 7h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 04:03 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CMO OS Exit	indicator	1.45
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.28
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.27
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.26
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.21
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	0.84
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	0.79
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	0.76

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bullish signals on the 4H chart suggests a high-probability bounce, but it is counter to the prevailing bearish trend.
The 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes are all in strong bearish trends, so the bullish signal is a short-term counter-trend move.
Watch the nearest resistance at 290.60; a break above could extend the bounce, while rejection may lead to renewed selling.
The 100% probability and very strong strength indicate high confidence in the signal, but it does not guarantee a trend reversal.

The BCH/USDT 4H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI and CMO oversold exits, a Stoch FKD cross up, a KDJ cross up, a retreat from the lower Bollinger Band, and a Bullish Harami candlestick. This confluence suggests that selling pressure is exhausting and a short-term bounce is likely, even though the broader trend across all timeframes remains bearish. The probability is rated at 100% with very strong strength, but this should be interpreted as a high-confidence counter-trend move rather than a reversal of the dominant downtrend.

Across timeframes, the trend is bearish and very strong on the 1H, 2H, and 4H charts, while the 15M and 30M show choppy or forming bearish conditions. The higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are also bearish but only trend-forming, indicating that the bearish momentum may be waning. The nearest resistance sits at 290.60, which is a critical level to watch; a break above it could signal a stronger recovery, while a failure to hold the current bounce could lead to renewed downside. Given the bearish alignment, any long position should be treated as tactical, with tight risk management.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oscillators (BOP, CCI, CMO, Stoch FKD, KDJ) are exiting oversold conditions, confirming a momentum shift.
▲ Price retreating from the lower Bollinger Band and the Bullish Harami candlestick add confluence to the bullish case.
▲ The signal strength is rated very strong with a 100% probability, suggesting a high-quality setup.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant trend across all timeframes is bearish, and the bullish signal is counter-trend, increasing the risk of a false bounce.
▼ The nearest resistance at 290.60 is a key level; failure to break above it could invalidate the bullish move.
▼ The 15M and 30M timeframes are still bearish or choppy, which may limit upside momentum.
▼ If the bounce fails, the next support is undefined, so downside risk could be significant.