BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-09 14:00 UTC 13 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.15 %

Entry

74,632.00

Target

73,750.00 +1.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

76,200.00 −2.10 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 14,413 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 14,413 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.10 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.07 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.07 % 24 % at stop avg −1.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 30 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, HMA Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % – first candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (27.21)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDCPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.6%in 22h
13:30TomorrowUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 22h
13:30TomorrowUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 22h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 14:32 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.36
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.14
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.80
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	1.80
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.46
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.35

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple 30M indicators (RSI, CMO, EMA50, SMA50, KAMA, T3, ERI, KDJ) are aligned bearish, signaling a strong short-term sell opportunity.
Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) are all bearish, supporting the downside bias.
Key support at 73750 is the next downside target; resistance at 76200 is the invalidation level.
The 15M and 30M trends are still bullish, so caution is warranted—wait for a break below support for confirmation.

The 30-minute BTC/USDT chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including CMO Zero Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down, T3 Break Down, ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down, and KDJ Cross Down, among others. This synchronized momentum and trend-based breakdown on the 30M timeframe suggests a short-term shift to the downside, with price likely retesting the nearest support at 73750.00000. The alignment across higher timeframes—2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H all showing solid bearish trends—reinforces the bearish bias, despite the 15M and 30M being mildly bullish and choppy.

However, the immediate higher timeframe (1H) is only bearish with a forming trend (2/5), and the 15M/30M are still bullish, which could limit downside momentum. The nearest resistance at 76200.00000 acts as a key invalidation zone; a break above it would negate the bearish setup. Conversely, a sustained move below 73750.00000 would likely accelerate the decline, aligning with the stronger bearish trends on the 4H and above. Traders should watch for price action around these levels and monitor whether the 30M bearish signals translate into a broader trend confirmation.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple momentum and trend-following indicators on the 30M chart.
▼ Strong bearish alignment across 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes.
▼ Price is retreating from key moving averages (EMA50, SMA50) and breaking below T3, indicating sustained selling pressure.
▼ High signal probability (100%) and very strong strength score.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15M and 30M trends are still bullish, which could cause a bounce before further downside.
▲ The 1H trend is only forming (2/5), so the bearish case is not fully confirmed on that timeframe.
▲ A break above the 76200 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a rally.
▲ Momentum may fade if price stalls near support without a decisive break below 73750.