DOGE/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 3× UPDATED

2026-11-09 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.63 %

Entry

0.06961

Target

0.07834 +12.54 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.06746 −3.09 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 7 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,155 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,155 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.60 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.76 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.71 % 21 % at stop avg −3.66 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: RSI OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat +1 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

39.0 % ↓ −22.2 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 79 % (17.17) ▼ Bearish 21 % (4.70)

model score 18.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 7 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.8 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 43.8 % vs 22.8 % (crypto, 4,470 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for DOGE/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 6h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 6h
13:30TodayUSDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%in 6h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 04:03 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.68
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.42
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.22
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.21
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.09

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bottoming signals (BOP, RSI, Stoch, Keltner) suggest a possible short-term bounce, but the overall trend is bearish.
All timeframes from 15m to 1D are bearish, so any rally is likely corrective unless resistance at 0.07834 is broken.
No defined support level means the downside risk is open; manage position size accordingly.
The signal is moderate strength with a 68% probability, so treat it as a tactical long, not a trend reversal.

The DOG/EUSDT 4H signal fires a cluster of bottoming indicators against a predominantly bearish trend across timeframes. The BOP Zero Cross Up and RSI OS Exit suggest selling pressure is exhausting, while the STOCHF KD Cross Up and Keltner Lower Retreat hint at a short-term bounce. However, the bearish alignment from 15m up to 1D, with solid trend scores (3/5) on higher timeframes, indicates that any upside is likely corrective. The nearest resistance at 0.07834 is the immediate hurdle; a break above could signal a trend reversal, but until then, the path of least resistance remains down.

Traders should treat this as a potential counter-trend long with defined risk. The confluence of multiple oscillator signals increases the odds of a bounce, but the lack of a clear support level and the strong bearish trend argue for caution. Watch for price to hold above recent lows and for a sustained move toward resistance. A failure to hold the current area could accelerate the decline, invalidating the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Cluster of oscillator signals: BOP Zero Cross Up, RSI OS Exit, and STOCHF KD Cross Up all point to waning downside momentum.
▲ Keltner Lower Retreat indicates price is retracing from an oversold extreme, which often precedes a bounce.
▲ The 4H timeframe is a key decision point; the signal aligns with a potential higher low if price holds above recent lows.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend across all timeframes (solid 3/5 on 1H, 4H, 1D) could overpower the bounce attempt.
▼ No support level is defined; if price breaks below the recent swing low, the setup is invalidated and downside could accelerate.
▼ The STOCH KD Cross Down (bearish) conflicts with the other signals, suggesting mixed momentum.
▼ Resistance at 0.07834 is nearby; a failure to reach it or a rejection there would confirm the bearish bias.