EUR/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 20:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.04 %

Entry

1.58424

Target

1.56958 +0.93 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.59829 −0.89 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,802 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,802 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.40 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, KDJ Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.0 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.3 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 718 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/CAD

Full calendar

19:30TodayEURECB President Lagarde Speech●●●in 5h
00:00TomorrowEUREU Leaders Summit●●●in 9h
06:50TomorrowEURECB Executive Board Member Elderson Speech●●○in 16h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	2.16
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.02
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.69
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▲	ADXR Trend Strong	indicator	1.48
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.98
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	0.94
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	0.83

Trend Context

15M

UPExtremely strong trend

30M

UPExtremely strong trend

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple momentum and volatility indicators on the 1H chart are flashing bearish, suggesting a short-term pullback is likely.
The bearish signal is supported by a bearish trend on the 12H and 1D timeframes, but lower timeframes are still bullish, creating a mixed picture.
Watch the nearest support at 1.56958; a break below would strengthen the bearish case, while a hold could lead to sideways action.
The signal probability is 74% with moderate strength, indicating a decent but not overwhelming edge.

The 1H chart for EUR/CAD has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including ADXR Trend Strong, BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, KDJ Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, and ZSCORE Extreme High Exit. These indicators collectively point to a short-term reversal from overbought conditions, with momentum shifting lower after a strong upward push. The confluence of multiple oscillators and trend-strength metrics suggests that selling pressure is building, and the price is likely to correct from elevated levels.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes are bullish, the higher timeframes (4h, 8h) are choppy, and the 12h and 1d are bearish. This alignment suggests that the immediate pullback may be part of a larger downtrend resumption, but the strength of the lower-timeframe uptrend could limit the downside. The nearest support at 1.56958 is a key level to watch; a break below could confirm the bearish reversal, while a hold may lead to consolidation. Resistance is not clearly defined, so the focus is on the support level.

Catalysts

▼ A dense cluster of bearish signals across multiple indicator groups (momentum, trend, volatility) increases the likelihood of a downward move.
▼ The bearish trend on the 12H and 1D timeframes aligns with the 1H sell signal, suggesting the pullback could be part of a larger downtrend.
▼ The ZSCORE Extreme High Exit and CCI OB Exit indicate the price is overbought, which often precedes a correction.
▼ The ADXR Trend Strong signal confirms that the current move has enough momentum to follow through, even if it is against the lower-timeframe trend.

Risk Factors

▲ The lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are in strong bullish trends, which could overpower the bearish signal and lead to a continuation higher.
▲ The 4H and 8H timeframes are choppy/sideways, offering no clear direction, which could result in a range-bound market rather than a clear downtrend.
▲ If the price fails to break below the nearest support at 1.56958, the bearish signal could be invalidated, and the pair may resume its uptrend.
▲ The signal strength is only moderate, and the probability of 74% leaves a 26% chance of failure, so risk management is essential.