EUR/GBP – 12H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 3× UPDATED

2026-11-09 10:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.13 %

Entry

0.83494

Target

0.86121 +3.15 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.80785 −3.24 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 49 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.03 % per trade 267 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 267 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.69 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.44 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.48 % 19 % at stop avg −0.75 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: DEMA Retreat Up, MOM Zero Cross Up, ROC Zero Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↑ +24.0 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +3% Position

▲ Bullish 88 % (16.41) ▼ Bearish 12 % (2.26)

model score 87.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.0 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 856 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/GBP

Full calendar

19:30TodayEURECB President Lagarde Speech●●●in 3h
00:00TomorrowEUREU Leaders Summit●●●in 8h
06:50TomorrowEURECB Executive Board Member Elderson Speech●●○in 15h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.92
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.57
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.44
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.44
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.44
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.40
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.27

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Momentum oscillators have flipped bullish on the 12H chart, suggesting a short-term bounce.
The broader trend is still bearish, especially on the 1D, so this is a counter-trend signal.
Watch the 0.86121 resistance—a break above it would signal a stronger reversal.
DX Trend Weak implies the bearish trend may be losing steam, supporting the bounce.

The EUR/GBP 12H chart has triggered a cluster of momentum oscillators—CCI, MOM, ROC, and ROCR—all crossing above their zero lines, alongside a STOCHF KD cross up and a DEMA retreat upward. These signals collectively point to a bullish impulse forming within the current 12H timeframe, despite the broader bearish trend. The DX Trend Weak reading indicates that the bearish trend lacks strong directional force, which could allow this counter-trend bounce to develop further.

However, the higher timeframes remain firmly bearish, with the 1D showing a very strong downtrend and the 4H/8H still bearish. The 12H itself is labeled bearish with a solid trend, so this buy signal is essentially a counter-trend move. The nearest resistance at 0.86121 is the immediate upside target, and a break above that level would be needed to confirm a larger reversal. Without that, the bounce may stall, and the bearish trend could resume.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR) crossing above zero in sync.
▲ STOCHF KD cross up and DEMA retreat upward add confluence to the bullish case.
▲ Weak trend strength (DX Trend Weak) suggests the bearish trend may be vulnerable.
▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are already bullish, showing early momentum alignment.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1D) remain bearish, which could cap the upside.
▼ The 12H trend itself is still labeled bearish, so the signal runs against the prevailing trend.
▼ If price fails to break above 0.86121, the bounce could fade and the bearish trend resume.
▼ The 2H timeframe is bearish, indicating potential near-term resistance to the move.