EUR/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 20:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.01 %

Entry

1.12215

Target

1.11351 +0.77 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12441 −0.20 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,506 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,506 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, BOP Zero Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.0 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.3 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 718 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 15m
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 15m
15:00TodayUSDExisting Home Sales m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous 1.5%in 1h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 20:30 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CMO OB Exit	indicator	2.35
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.87
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.59
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.49
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▼	STC OB Entry	indicator	1.13
▼	RSX OB Entry	indicator	1.06
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.94

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a potential short-term pullback, but the higher timeframe trend is mostly bullish.
The signal strength is weak (64%), so caution is warranted.
Watch the 1.12348 resistance and 1.11351 support for confirmation.
Mixed signals across timeframes mean the sell may be counter-trend.

The 30-minute EUR/USD chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO OB Exit, ER Level Cross Up, RSX OB Entry, STC OB Entry, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, a Fibonacci Break DownTrend at 24%, and a Bearish Harami. These indicators collectively suggest that the recent upward move has reached an overbought extreme and is losing momentum, with the Fibonacci break indicating a potential retracement of the prior downtrend. However, the signal is weak (64% probability) and the trend across higher timeframes remains predominantly bullish, creating a conflicting picture.

On the 15-minute, 30-minute, and 1-hour timeframes, the trend is bullish with strong trend scores, while the 4-hour and 8-hour are choppy/sideways, and the 12-hour and 1-day are bearish. This mixed alignment suggests that the bearish signals on the 30-minute chart may represent a short-term pullback within a larger bullish structure rather than a major reversal. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.12348 and support at 1.11351. A break below support would confirm bearish momentum, while a hold above resistance could invalidate the sell signal.

Catalysts

▼ Cluster of overbought indicators (CMO, RSX, STC, ZSCORE) pointing to exhaustion.
▼ Bearish Harami candlestick pattern adds a reversal signal.
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend at 24% indicates a potential retracement of the prior downtrend.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down shows selling pressure emerging.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe trend is bullish, which could override the 30-minute bearish signal.
▲ Weak signal strength (64%) reduces confidence.
▲ If price breaks above resistance at 1.12348, the sell signal is invalidated.
▲ Choppy 4-hour and 8-hour timeframes may cause whipsaw movements.