GBP/JPY – 8H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 2× UPDATED

2026-11-08 22:00 UTC 18 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.29 %

Entry

211.717

Target

217.464 +2.71 %

closes in profit

Stop

209.117 −1.23 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 346 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 346 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.67 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.43 % 18 % at stop avg −0.63 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: CMO Zero Cross Up, RSI Midline Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit +11 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↓ −1.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 86 % (24.35) ▼ Bearish 14 % (3.89)

model score 86.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.8 % vs 18.9 % on average · stopped out 16.2 % vs 12.6 % (forex, 779 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for GBP/JPY

Full calendar

07:00November 12, 2026GBPTrade Balance●●○Forecast -£22.258BPrevious -£18.007Bin 2 days
07:00November 12, 2026GBPManufacturing Production m/m●●○Forecast 0.3%Previous 1.2%in 2 days
07:00November 12, 2026GBPIndustrial Production m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.8%in 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KST Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.88
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.82
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▼	RSX Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.46
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.43
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.40
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.39
▼	AROON Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	AROONOSC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.25
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.20
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.11
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.10
▲	EMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	1.08
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.05
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.02
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	1.02
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	0.88

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Buy signal is based on short-term momentum crossovers, but higher timeframes (1H-12H) are bearish, creating a counter-trend context.
Resistance at 211.990 is the immediate upside target; a break above could extend gains, but failure may lead to a pullback.
Support at 209.117 is critical; losing this level would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the downtrend.
Probability is moderate (62%) and strength is weak, so position sizing should be conservative.

The GBP/JPY 8H signal fires a BUY with a 62% probability, driven by a cluster of momentum and oscillator crossovers, including AROON Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO Zero Cross Up, RSI Midline Cross Up, and STOCH KD Cross Up. These signals indicate a shift in short-term momentum from bearish to bullish, with the WILLR exiting oversold territory adding confirmation. However, the overall trend picture is mixed: while the 15m and 30m timeframes are bullish (though choppy), the 1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes remain bearish, with 1H and 2H showing solid trends. This divergence suggests the buy signal may be a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, rather than a reversal. Key levels to monitor are resistance at 211.990 and support at 209.117; a break above resistance would signal stronger bullish momentum, while a loss of support would invalidate the setup.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oscillator crossovers (RSI, STOCH, CMO) align to signal upward momentum.
▲ WILLR exiting oversold territory suggests buying pressure is emerging.
▲ Bullish structure on 15m and 30m timeframes supports short-term upside.
▲ Aroon Cross Down indicates the recent downtrend may be losing steam.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) are bearish, with 1H and 2H showing solid trends, which could overpower the short-term bounce.
▼ The signal is weak (strength: weak) and probability is only 62%, indicating limited conviction.
▼ If price fails to break above 211.990, the counter-trend move may fizzle and reverse lower.
▼ A drop below 209.117 would invalidate the setup and likely trigger further downside.