LUNC/USDT – 4H – BUY
BUY Counter-trend NEW CLOSED
20 hours ago
The plan for this signal
Closed at stop · result −0.89 %
Entry
0.00003923
Target
0.00004243 +8.16 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.00003888 −0.89 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price
So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,155 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,155 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
32 % at target avg +2.60 %
22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.76 %
24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.71 %
21 % at stop avg −3.66 %
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up
Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes.
Target hit 9.8 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 43.8 % vs 22.8 % (crypto, 4,470 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
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Signal evolution
Events for LUNC/USDT
Full calendar- TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 13h
- TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 13h
- TodayUSDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%in 13h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 04:03 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | ER Level Cross Down | indicator | 1.59 |
| ▲ | ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit | indicator | 1.54 |
| ▲ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.33 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNVery strong trend
12HDOWNExtremely strong trend
1DDOWNVery strong trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple momentum and flow indicators (BOP, STOCHRSI, ER, ZSCORE) are turning bullish from oversold conditions, hinting at a possible bounce.
- The overall trend is bearish across all timeframes, with the 12H chart extremely strong, so any rally may be counter-trend.
- Key level to watch: 0.00004 acts as both nearest support and resistance, making it a pivotal zone for direction.
- The signal is moderate strength with 72% probability, suggesting a tactical opportunity rather than a high-conviction reversal.
The LUN/CUSDT 4H signal fires a cluster of indicator-based buy triggers: BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, ER Level Cross Down, and ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit. Together, these suggest that selling pressure is waning, momentum is turning upward from oversold conditions, and price may be exiting an extreme low zone. However, the broader trend across all timeframes is bearish, with the 12H chart showing an extremely strong downtrend (5/5) and the 8H/1D charts also firmly bearish. This creates a conflict: the signal points to a potential short-term bounce, but the higher timeframe trend argues for continued downside. The nearest support and resistance are both at 0.00004, indicating a tight range where price may consolidate. The signal's moderate strength and 72% probability suggest a tactical long opportunity, but traders should be cautious given the overwhelming bearish alignment on higher timeframes.
Catalysts
- ▲ Confluence of four indicator signals (BOP, STOCHRSI, ER, ZSCORE) all pointing to a bullish turn.
- ▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicates price is leaving an extremely oversold state, often leading to mean reversion.
- ▲ STOCHRSI KD Cross Up confirms short-term momentum shift from bearish to bullish.
- ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up shows buying pressure overcoming selling pressure at the current level.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframe trends are strongly bearish (12H at 5/5), which could overwhelm any short-term bounce.
- ▼ The signal is only moderate strength, so the move may lack follow-through.
- ▼ If price fails to hold above 0.00004, the bullish setup is invalidated and downside could resume.
- ▼ Choppy 15m action suggests low conviction, and any rally could be a bull trap within the larger downtrend.
Symbol
LUNC/USDT
Timeframe
4H
Direction
BUY
Conviction
8%
Strength
WEAK
Date
2026-11-09 00:00
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.00004 | 2026-11-04 |
| R2 | 0.00005 | 2026-10-28 |
| R3 | 0.00005 | 2026-10-25 |
| S1 | 0.00004 | 2026-11-05 |