USD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-09 12:30 UTC 25 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.02 %

Entry

1.40988

Target

1.40523 +0.33 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.41376 −0.28 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,236 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,236 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, MA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.7 % – first candle

MODERATE ⚡ Confluence +5% Scalping

▲ Bullish 32 % (5.47) ▼ Bearish 68 % (11.81)

model score 68.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.9 % on average · stopped out 14.2 % vs 12.6 % (forex, 1,018 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

18:00TodayUSD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 4h
13:30TomorrowUSDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDCore CPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.3%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.16
▲	MACD Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.57
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.56
▼	KDJ OB Entry	indicator	1.54
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.52
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.03
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.92

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a short-term pullback, but higher timeframes remain bullish.
Key support at 1.40523 is the immediate downside target; a break could extend the correction.
Resistance at 1.41376 caps upside in the short term; a reclaim would negate the bearish setup.
The confluence of multiple bearish indicators increases signal reliability, but trend alignment is mixed.

The SELL signal on USD/CAD at the 30-minute timeframe is driven by a cluster of bearish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Up (which often precedes a bearish move in this context), STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, and WILLR exiting overbought territory. The retreat from the higher timeframe trendline and the SMA 50 retreat further reinforce the bearish case, suggesting a pullback within the broader uptrend. The confluence of these signals points to a short-term downward move, with the nearest support at 1.40523 as the primary downside target.

However, the higher timeframes (15m to 1d) all show bullish trends, with solid trend scores on the 15m, 1h, 2h, and 4h charts. This creates a conflict: the 30-minute bearish signal is likely a counter-trend pullback rather than a trend reversal. The overall bullish structure means the downside may be limited, and the move could be a retracement before the uptrend resumes. Traders should watch the 1.40523 support level; a break below it could signal a deeper correction, while a bounce would confirm the bullish bias on higher timeframes.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish indicators (BOP, STOCHRSI, WILLR, HT trendline, MA/SMA retreat) converge on the 30-minute chart.
▼ The retreat from the higher timeframe trendline indicates a potential rejection at resistance.
▼ The MACD Signal Cross Up, in this context, often precedes a bearish move after an overbought condition.
▼ The signal has a 68% probability and moderate strength, suggesting a decent edge.

Risk Factors

▲ All higher timeframes (15m to 1d) are bullish, which could limit downside and lead to a quick reversal.
▲ The bullish trend on the 1h and 4h charts may override the 30-minute bearish signal, causing a bounce off support.
▲ If the price breaks above the nearest resistance at 1.41376, the bearish setup is invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade if the pullback is shallow, as the overall trend strength on higher timeframes is solid.