USD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-09 12:00 UTC 25 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %

Entry

157.936

Target

157.255 +0.43 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.543 −0.38 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,673 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,673 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross, SMA 200 Break Down, SUPERTREND Flip Bearish +13 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +2% Intraday

▲ Bullish 8 % (3.32) ▼ Bearish 92 % (38.30)

model score 92.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

18:00TodayUSD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 4h
23:30TodayJPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 10h
23:30TodayJPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 10h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	2.78
▼	SMA 200 Break Down	indicator	2.50
▼	SUPERTREND Flip Bearish	indicator	2.09
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.76
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.72
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.69
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.67
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.66
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.66
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.65
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.60
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.60
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.56
▼	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish	indicator	1.39
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.89

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 1H chart with multiple confirmations, including a Death Cross and retreats from key moving averages.
All timeframes are aligned bearish, but higher timeframes are choppy—momentum is weak, so moves may be slower.
Immediate downside target is support at 157.25500; a break below opens further downside.
Resistance at 158.54300 is the key invalidation level—if price reclaims this, the bearish setup is void.

The USD/JPY 1H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including a CCI oversold exit, a stochastic cross down, and multiple moving-average retreats capped by a Death Cross on the 20/50 EMAs. The breadth of the signal—over fifteen individual triggers spanning candlestick and indicator groups—points to broad-based selling pressure on this timeframe. With the price retreating from the upper Bollinger Band and trendlines sloping down, the immediate path of least resistance is lower, targeting the nearest support at 157.25500.

Across higher timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent but not yet strongly trending. All timeframes from 15 minutes up to daily are labeled bearish, though most are in a 'choppy/sideways' phase with a trend score of only 1/5. This suggests the current move is part of a broader downtrend but lacks strong momentum, making it vulnerable to range-bound behavior. The key resistance at 158.54300 is the immediate invalidation zone; a sustained break above that level would negate the bearish setup. Until then, the confluence of signals favors continued downside, but traders should watch for a potential stall near support.

Catalysts

▼ Broad confluence of over 15 signals, including CCI, stochastic, and multiple moving-average retreats.
▼ Death Cross on the 20/50 EMAs confirms bearish momentum on the 1H timeframe.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, from 15m to daily.
▼ Price retreating from the upper Bollinger Band and trendline resistance, indicating rejection at higher levels.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes are choppy and sideways with low trend scores, which may limit follow-through.
▲ Price is approaching nearest support at 157.25500, where a bounce could occur.
▲ A break above resistance at 158.54300 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ Momentum indicators like CCI are already oversold—could lead to a short-term bounce.