USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 10× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 20:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.10 %

Entry

157.834

Target

158.189 +0.22 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.255 −0.37 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,506 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,506 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat, ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, WILLR OS Exit +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.8 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,097 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 15m
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 15m
15:00TodayUSDFed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speech●●○in 1h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 20:30 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	2.15
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	2.07
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.91
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.81
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▼	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	COPPOCK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	1.27

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish momentum is building after an extreme oversold condition on the 30-minute chart.
The broader trend is bearish, so this is a counter-trend bounce, not a reversal.
Watch the nearest resistance at 158.18900 for potential upside cap.
A break below the nearest support at 157.69000 would invalidate the bullish signal.

The USD/JPY 30-minute signal has fired a cluster of bullish oscillators after an extreme downside move. The BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and WILLR OS Exit all confirm that selling pressure is exhausting and momentum is turning higher from oversold conditions. The ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit adds to this, suggesting price has deviated significantly from its mean and is due for a reversion. The retreat from the Keltner Lower band further supports a bounce scenario.

However, the broader trend context remains firmly bearish across all timeframes, with the 30-minute and higher timeframes showing bearish, choppy/sideways conditions. This signal is best viewed as a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The immediate upside target is the nearest resistance at 158.18900, while the nearest support at 157.69000 is the key level to watch. A break below support would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the broader downtrend.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oscillators (BOP, Stochastic, Williams %R) are turning up from oversold levels, indicating strong momentum convergence.
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit suggests price is stretched below its mean, increasing the likelihood of a reversion bounce.
▲ Price retreating from the Keltner Lower band supports the idea of a short-term bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ All higher timeframes remain bearish, so the bounce could quickly fade into the broader downtrend.
▼ The nearest resistance at 158.18900 may act as a strong ceiling, limiting upside.
▼ Momentum signals could be premature if price fails to hold above the nearest support at 157.69000.
▼ The choppy/sideways trend scores on higher timeframes suggest low conviction in the bounce.