USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 11× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 04:30 UTC 19 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.21 %

Entry

158.271

Target

157.690 +0.37 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.674 −0.25 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,236 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,236 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Retreat Down, DEMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down +13 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 13h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 13h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI●●●Forecast 339.796Previous 338.896in 13h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 11× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.17
▲	FISHER Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.94
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.87
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.85
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.76
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	KST Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	TSI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.32
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.28
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	MACD Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.94

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart, with all major oscillators crossing below their zero or midline levels.
Bearish alignment across all timeframes, but trend strength is weak (1/5) and choppy/sideways, so expect limited follow-through.
Key levels: support at 157.99800 and resistance at 158.54300; a break of support confirms downside, while a reclaim of resistance invalidates the setup.
High probability (95%) and very strong signal strength, but the choppy market conditions warrant caution and tight risk management.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, all aligned on the zero-line and midline crosses of momentum oscillators (BOP, CMO, MACD, RSI, STOCH KD) plus retreats from key moving averages (DEMA, MA) and trendlines (HT TRENDLINE). This confluence across indicator groups—momentum, trend, and candlestick patterns—reinforces a very strong bearish bias with a 95% probability, suggesting sellers are in firm control at this time. The bearish trend is consistent across all timeframes from 15 minutes up to daily, although the trend strength is weak (1/5) and characterized as choppy or sideways, which tempers the conviction of a sustained move.

Key levels to watch are immediate support at 157.99800 and resistance at 158.54300. A break below support could open the path for further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. Given the weak trend strength across higher timeframes, the move may be more of a short-term correction rather than a strong directional shift. Traders should monitor price action at these levels and watch for any signs of momentum fading, as the choppy conditions could lead to false breakouts.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple indicator signals (BOP, CMO, MACD, RSI, STOCH) all crossing down simultaneously.
▼ Retreats from DEMA, MA, and HT TRENDLINE confirm bearish momentum.
▼ Bearish trend across all timeframes from 15m to daily, supporting the short-term bias.
▼ Signal groups include candlestick, fibonacci, and indicator, adding technical weight.

Risk Factors

▲ Weak trend strength (1/5) and choppy/sideways conditions across all timeframes could lead to false signals and whipsaws.
▲ Immediate resistance at 158.54300 is nearby; a reclaim above this level would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum could fade quickly given the low trend scores, especially if price stalls near support.
▲ The 95% probability is based on current signals; any shift in higher timeframe trend (e.g., a bullish reversal on the daily) would conflict.