ADA/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 4× UPDATED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.52 %
Entry
0.1738
Target
0.2015 +15.94 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.1683 −3.17 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 6 of 12
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.02 % per trade 2,215 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,215 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
32 % at target avg +2.56 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.75 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.73 % 22 % at stop avg −3.64 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: AO Saucer Bullish, QSTICK Zero Cross Up, KST Signal Cross Up +7 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.9 % ↓ −2.2 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +2% Swing
▲ Bullish 90 % (28.55) ▼ Bearish 10 % (3.12)
model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 7 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.8 % vs 31.8 % on average · stopped out 43.8 % vs 22.9 % (crypto, 4,687 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
ADA/USDT  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for ADA/USDT

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 11h
  • TodayUSDExisting Home Sales●●○Forecast 4.04MPrevious 3.99Min 12h
  • TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.489MPrevious -0.865Min 14h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 7 × 4h 0%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 00:03 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ AO Saucer Bullish indicator 1.86
▲ QSTICK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.78
▲ KST Signal Cross Up indicator 1.70
▼ TSI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.62
▲ MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.54
▲ ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.54
▲ ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.54
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.54
▲ Northern Doji candlestick 1.28
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.24
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.00

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A powerful cluster of bullish momentum signals fired on the 4H, suggesting a short-term bounce is likely.
  • All higher timeframes remain bearish, so this is a counter-trend trade, not a reversal signal.
  • The nearest resistance at 0.20150 is the key level to watch; a break above could extend the move.
  • Expect choppy price action given the conflicting timeframes; keep position sizing conservative.
The 4H chart for ADA/USDT has fired a dense cluster of bullish momentum signals, including CCI OS Exit, MOM Zero Cross Up, ROC Zero Cross Up, ROCR Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, AO Saucer Bullish, and KST Signal Cross Up. These indicators collectively suggest that downside momentum is exhausting and a short-term reversal attempt is underway. The breadth of the signals—spanning oscillators, momentum, volatility, and trend-following tools—adds confluence to the buy setup.

However, the broader trend context remains firmly bearish. All timeframes from 15m up to 1D are bearish, with the 12H showing a very strong downtrend. The 4H signal is therefore a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, not a trend reversal. The nearest resistance at 0.20150 is a critical hurdle; a failure to break above it would likely see the bounce fade. Traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity with tight risk management, watching for confirmation from price action around the resistance level.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple momentum indicators (CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCH) all flipped bullish simultaneously, indicating strong short-term buying pressure.
  • ▲ AO Saucer Bullish and KST Signal Cross Up add trend-momentum confirmation, increasing the probability of a sustained bounce.
  • ▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up suggests price is recovering from oversold conditions, often leading to a mean-reversion rally.
  • ▲ The signal strength is rated 'very strong' with 90% probability, reflecting high confluence among the indicators.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The dominant trend across all timeframes is bearish; a counter-trend bounce can fail quickly if sellers re-engage.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 0.20150 is a major barrier; failure to break it would invalidate the bullish setup.
  • ▼ The 15m and 30m charts are bearish and choppy, indicating weak short-term momentum that could undermine the bounce.
  • ▼ If price breaks below the recent swing low (the invalidation level), the bullish signals would be negated and the downtrend could resume.
Symbol ADA/USDT
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 0%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-10 20:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.20150 2026-11-04
R2 0.21010 2026-10-28
R3 0.23050 2026-10-21

Tags

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