AUD/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 9× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.18 %
Entry
0.97774
Target
0.96490 +1.31 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.98006 −0.24 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,802 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,802 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.40 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.0 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 856 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/CAD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowCADWholesale Trade m/m●●○Forecast 0.3%Previous -1.6%in 23h
  • November 16, 2026CADCPI y/y●●●Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.1%in 3 days
  • November 16, 2026CADCPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.0%Previous 0.1%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 83%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 2.59
▲ KDJ OB Exit indicator 2.19
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicator 1.68
▼ STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.61
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.59
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.51
▼ ZLMA Retreat Down indicator 1.51
▼ AO Saucer Bearish indicator 1.50
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.00

Trend Context

15M
UPVery strong trend
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple momentum indicators on the 1H chart are all flashing bearish, suggesting a high-probability short-term reversal.
  • The higher timeframe trend (8H, 12H, 1D) is bearish, aligning with the sell signal, but the immediate lower timeframes are still bullish, so expect possible short-term bounce.
  • Watch the support at 0.96490 – a break below it would confirm the bearish move, while a break above resistance at 0.97969 would invalidate the signal.
  • The signal is moderate strength with a 70% probability, so consider using tight risk management.
The 1H SELL signal on AUD/CAD is driven by a dense cluster of momentum and volatility indicators all flipping bearish at once: BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, AO Saucer Bearish, KDJ OB Exit, HMA Retreat Down, ZLMA Retreat Down, and ZSCORE Extreme High Exit. This suggests that the recent up-move on the 1H chart has run out of steam and that price is likely to correct lower. The signal is further supported by the bearish trend on the higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D), which implies that the larger downtrend is still intact and that the current 1H bullish phase may be a retracement within that larger bearish structure.

However, the immediate lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H) are still bullish, which creates a conflict. The 1H bullish trend is only 'forming' (2/5), so it is weak, but the 15m and 30m trends are strong. This means that a short-term bounce could still occur before the sell signal plays out. Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.97969 and support at 0.96490. A break below the support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a sustained move above the resistance would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Strong confluence of multiple indicators (BOP, CCI, STOCHRSI, AO, KDJ, HMA, ZLMA, ZSCORE) all turning bearish at the same time.
  • ▼ Higher timeframe trend (8H, 12H, 1D) is bearish, supporting the sell signal.
  • ▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicates price is overextended to the upside, increasing the likelihood of a pullback.
  • ▼ The bearish candlestick pattern adds to the bearish case.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H) are still bullish, which could lead to a short-term bounce before the sell signal plays out.
  • ▲ The 1H bullish trend, although weak, is still forming, so momentum could persist slightly longer.
  • ▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 0.97969, the sell signal would be invalidated.
  • ▲ The signal strength is only moderate, so the move may not be as sharp as expected.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 83%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-11-09 21:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.97969 2026-11-05
R2 0.98006 2026-11-04
R3 0.98299 2026-10-30
S1 0.96490 2026-11-06

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