AUD/CAD – 1H – SELL
SELL Counter-trend 9× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down +4 more
Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Events for AUD/CAD
Full calendar- TomorrowCADWholesale Trade m/m●●○Forecast 0.3%Previous -1.6%in 23h
- November 16, 2026CADCPI y/y●●●Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.1%in 3 days
- November 16, 2026CADCPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.0%Previous 0.1%in 3 days
All times UTC.
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | CCI OB Exit | indicator | 2.59 |
| ▲ | KDJ OB Exit | indicator | 2.19 |
| ▼ | ZSCORE Extreme High Exit | indicator | 1.68 |
| ▼ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.61 |
| ▼ | HMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.59 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.51 |
| ▼ | ZLMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.51 |
| ▼ | AO Saucer Bearish | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.00 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Multiple momentum indicators on the 1H chart are all flashing bearish, suggesting a high-probability short-term reversal.
- The higher timeframe trend (8H, 12H, 1D) is bearish, aligning with the sell signal, but the immediate lower timeframes are still bullish, so expect possible short-term bounce.
- Watch the support at 0.96490 – a break below it would confirm the bearish move, while a break above resistance at 0.97969 would invalidate the signal.
- The signal is moderate strength with a 70% probability, so consider using tight risk management.
However, the immediate lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H) are still bullish, which creates a conflict. The 1H bullish trend is only 'forming' (2/5), so it is weak, but the 15m and 30m trends are strong. This means that a short-term bounce could still occur before the sell signal plays out. Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.97969 and support at 0.96490. A break below the support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a sustained move above the resistance would invalidate the signal.
- ▼ Strong confluence of multiple indicators (BOP, CCI, STOCHRSI, AO, KDJ, HMA, ZLMA, ZSCORE) all turning bearish at the same time.
- ▼ Higher timeframe trend (8H, 12H, 1D) is bearish, supporting the sell signal.
- ▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicates price is overextended to the upside, increasing the likelihood of a pullback.
- ▼ The bearish candlestick pattern adds to the bearish case.
- ▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H) are still bullish, which could lead to a short-term bounce before the sell signal plays out.
- ▲ The 1H bullish trend, although weak, is still forming, so momentum could persist slightly longer.
- ▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 0.97969, the sell signal would be invalidated.
- ▲ The signal strength is only moderate, so the move may not be as sharp as expected.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.97969 | 2026-11-05 |
| R2 | 0.98006 | 2026-11-04 |
| R3 | 0.98299 | 2026-10-30 |
| S1 | 0.96490 | 2026-11-06 |