BTC/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 2× UPDATED

2026-11-10 16:00 UTC 21 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +1.19 %

Entry

73,473.07

Target

81,196.01 +10.51 %

closes in profit

Stop

71,912.86 −2.12 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.02 % per trade 2,215 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,215 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.56 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.75 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.73 % 22 % at stop avg −3.64 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit +4 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

49.6 % ↑ +2.5 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 100 % (8.96) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 41.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.8 % vs 31.8 % on average · stopped out 43.8 % vs 22.9 % (crypto, 4,687 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 20h
15:00TomorrowUSDExisting Home Sales●●○Forecast 4.04MPrevious 3.99Min 21h
17:00TomorrowUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.489MPrevious -0.865Min 23h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 20:03 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	2.14
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.38
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.36
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.24
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.09
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	1.04
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	1.01
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	0.96

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple oversold and momentum signals have fired on the 4H chart, suggesting a potential short-term bullish bounce.
The broader trend is strongly bearish across all timeframes, so any upside is likely corrective within the larger downtrend.
The nearest resistance at 81196.01000 is the key level to watch; a break above could signal further upside, while rejection may lead to a continuation lower.
No clear support level is defined, increasing the risk of a sharp move if the bounce fails.

The 4H chart for BTC/USDT has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, a STOCHF KD Cross Up, a WILLR OS Exit, an ERI Bull Zero Cross Down, and retreats from the lower bands of both the ACCBANDS and KELTNER. These are complemented by a Bullish Harami and a Spinning Top Bullish candlestick pattern. Together, they indicate a potential short-term bounce or reversal from oversold conditions, with momentum shifting from bearish to bullish within the 4H timeframe.

However, the broader trend context remains firmly bearish across all timeframes, with very strong bearish trends on the 2H and 4H charts. This suggests that any upside is likely a corrective move within a larger downtrend rather than a trend reversal. The nearest resistance at 81196.01000 is a critical level; a break above it could signal a stronger recovery, while failure to hold above it may see the bounce fade. The absence of a defined support level adds uncertainty, so traders should watch for price action around the resistance and monitor whether the bullish momentum can persist against the dominant bearish trend.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals: BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, ERI, and band retreats indicate strong oversold momentum shift.
▲ Bullish candlestick patterns (Bullish Harami, Spinning Top Bullish) add confirmation to the reversal attempt.
▲ Strong signal probability (77%) and strength (strong) suggest the setup has high conviction.
▲ The retreat from lower bands (ACCBANDS, KELTNER) often precedes a bounce as price reverts to the mean.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend across all timeframes, especially very strong on 2H and 4H, could overpower the bullish signals and lead to a failed bounce.
▼ The nearest resistance at 81196.01000 may act as a strong ceiling; if price fails to break above, the bounce could fade quickly.
▼ The absence of a defined support level means there is no clear invalidation point, increasing uncertainty and risk of a sharp decline if momentum reverses.
▼ Momentum signals like STOCHF and WILLR can be lagging and may produce false positives in a strong downtrend.