USD/JPY – 2H – BUY

BUY With the trend NEW
12 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.04 %
Entry
158.687
Target
159.450 +0.48 %
closes in profit
Stop
157.669 −0.64 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 14
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 50 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,060 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,060 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.42 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.21 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.23 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Break Up, HMA Break Up, T3 Break Up +16 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +34% Intraday
▲ Bullish 99 % (81.90) ▼ Bearish 1 % (0.90)
model score 98.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
USD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDWASDE Report●●○in 47m
  • TodayUSDEIA Short-Term Energy Outlook●●○in 47m
  • TodayUSD10-Year Note Auction●●○in 1h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ MIDPOINT Break Up indicator 3.18
▲ HMA Break Up indicator 2.89
▲ T3 Break Up indicator 2.70
▲ ALMA Break Up indicator 2.69
▲ Williams %R Hidden Bull Div divergence 2.69
▲ ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Breakout indicator 2.48
▲ KELTNER UPPER Upper Breakout indicator 2.44
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.38
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.36
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.32
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.27
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.21
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.17
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.08
▲ ER Level Cross Up indicator 2.08
▲ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up indicator 2.01
▲ SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire indicator 1.92
▲ QQE Midline Cross Up indicator 1.80
▲ COPPOCK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.36
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High indicator 0.90

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal on 2H with 98% probability and very strong strength.
  • Multiple moving-average retreat signals and a midpoint break up confirm upward momentum.
  • Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are solidly bullish, but higher timeframes (8H-1D) are bearish.
  • Watch resistance at 158.76800 and support at 157.66900 for breakout or invalidation.
The USD/JPY 2H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 98% probability and very strong strength. A dense cluster of moving-average-based retreat signals (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE) plus a midpoint break up and midprice retreat all point to a sustained upward push. The signal groups include both indicator and divergence, suggesting momentum is aligning with price action. On the 2H chart, the trend is forming (2/5), but the lower timeframes (15m and 30m) show solid bullish trends (3/5), providing a supportive backdrop. However, the higher timeframes (8H to 1D) remain bearish and choppy, which could limit upside potential.

Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 158.76800 and support at 157.66900. A break above resistance could open the door for further gains, while a move below support would invalidate the bullish setup. The confluence of multiple retreat signals on the 2H timeframe, combined with solid short-term trends, supports the bullish case. Yet, the conflicting higher timeframe trend is a major headwind, and traders should monitor momentum for signs of fading.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of 12+ moving-average retreat signals on the 2H timeframe.
  • ▲ Midpoint break up and midprice retreat add to the bullish case.
  • ▲ Solid bullish trends on 15m and 30m timeframes support the immediate momentum.
  • ▲ Divergence signal group suggests underlying strength beyond simple price action.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (8H-1D) are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
  • ▼ Trend scores on 2H and 1H are only forming (2/5), indicating the trend is not yet fully established.
  • ▼ A drop below support at 157.66900 would invalidate the bullish setup.
  • ▼ Momentum could fade if price stalls near resistance at 158.76800.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Conviction 99%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-10 14:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.76800 2026-11-03
R2 158.94900 2026-10-14
S1 157.66900 2026-11-09
S2 157.25500 2026-11-06
S3 156.96200 2026-10-30

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