USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-10 18:00 UTC 18 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %

Entry

158.800

Target

157.872 +0.58 %

closes in profit

Stop

159.576 −0.49 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,319 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,319 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT SINE Zero Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

53.6 % – first candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +6% Scalping

▲ Bullish 37 % (7.07) ▼ Bearish 63 % (11.88)

model score 62.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.8 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 15.7 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 803 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30November 12, 2026USDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 1 day
13:30November 12, 2026USDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day
15:00November 12, 2026USDExisting Home Sales m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous 1.5%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 18:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMA CROSS 50 200 Golden Cross	indicator	2.66
▲	CMO OB Exit	indicator	2.35
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.06
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.38
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.35
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.32
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.94

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish momentum and oscillator signals fired on the 30-minute chart, suggesting a short-term pullback.
The overall trend is bullish on lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 2h), but the 4h and above are bearish or sideways, creating a mixed picture.
Key support to watch is 157.87200; a break below could accelerate selling, while holding it may lead to a bounce.
Signal strength is weak, so the bearish move may be shallow or short-lived.

The USD/JPY 30-minute signal is a confluence of multiple bearish momentum and oscillator exit signals, including BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO OB Exit, STOCH OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down, T3 Retreat Down, HT SINE Zero Cross Down, and KDJ Cross Down. These indicators collectively suggest that buying pressure is fading and that the pair is likely to correct lower from overbought conditions. However, the signal's strength is weak, and the overall trend across higher timeframes is still bullish, which creates a conflicting backdrop.

On the 30-minute chart, the pair has been in a solid uptrend, but the cluster of bearish signals indicates a potential short-term reversal. The presence of a Golden Cross (SMA 50/200) on the 30-minute timeframe supports the underlying bullish trend, but the momentum indicators are now rolling over. The nearest support is at 157.87200, which is a key level to watch. A break below this level could confirm the bearish move, while a failure to break it may lead to a resumption of the uptrend. Traders should be cautious given the weak signal strength and the bullish higher timeframe alignment.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals (BOP, CMO, STOCH, STOCHF, T3, HT SINE, KDJ) increases the likelihood of a downward move.
▼ Overbought conditions on several oscillators suggest room for a correction.
▼ The 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes are bearish, providing longer-term downward pressure.
▼ The nearest support level is well-defined, offering a clear target for the move.

Risk Factors

▲ The higher timeframes (15m to 2h) are bullish, which could overpower the bearish signal and lead to a continuation higher.
▲ The Golden Cross on the 30-minute indicates underlying bullish momentum, which may limit downside.
▲ Signal strength is weak, so the move could be choppy or fail to reach support.
▲ If price fails to break below 157.87200, the bearish signal may be invalidated, and a bounce could occur.