USD/JPY – 8H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 22:00 UTC 18 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.44 %

Entry

158.069

Target

158.768 +0.44 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.962 −0.70 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 352 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 352 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.66 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.41 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.43 % 18 % at stop avg −0.63 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 200 Retreat Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, CMO Zero Cross Up +8 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.6 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 17.4 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 596 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day
15:00TomorrowUSDExisting Home Sales m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous 1.5%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.24
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	2.11
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	2.04
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	2.04
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.01
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.85
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.80
▲	BIAS Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.77
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.29
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.27
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	1.25
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.18

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bullish signal fired on the 8H, but it runs against the broader bearish trend across most timeframes.
Watch the nearest resistance at 158.76800—a break above it would confirm the bullish move.
Support at 156.96200 is the key invalidation level; losing it would negate the signal.
The signal is driven by a cluster of momentum oscillators crossing their midlines, not by a confirmed trend reversal.

The USD/JPY 8H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish momentum indicators, including BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO Zero Cross Up, RSI Midline Cross Up, and STOCHF KD Cross Up, alongside a KAMA Retreat Up and SMA 200 Retreat Up. This confluence suggests that buying pressure is building after a period of bearish momentum, and the signal's very strong strength (88% probability) reflects broad alignment across the indicator group. However, the higher timeframes remain bearish and choppy, with only the 15m showing a weak bullish tilt, which means the signal is counter-trend on the larger picture.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 158.76800 and support at 156.96200. A sustained move above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a break below support would invalidate the signal. Given the mixed higher timeframe context, traders should treat this as a counter-trend bounce unless the price can reclaim the resistance zone. The signal's strength is notable, but the lack of trend alignment across timeframes keeps the risk elevated.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHF) all crossed above their zero/midline levels simultaneously, showing strong buying pressure.
▲ KAMA and SMA 200 retreats up indicate that the price is attempting to recover from oversold conditions.
▲ The signal's very strong strength (88% probability) suggests high confidence in the immediate bullish move.
▲ The 15m timeframe shows a bullish tilt, providing some short-term support for the bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframes (30m to 1d) are all bearish, so this signal is counter-trend and could fail if the larger downtrend resumes.
▼ The nearest resistance at 158.76800 may cap gains, especially if the broader bearish trend persists.
▼ Momentum signals can fade quickly in choppy, sideways markets—watch for a loss of upward momentum on the 8H.
▼ A break below support at 156.96200 would invalidate the signal and likely trigger a continuation of the bearish trend.