AVAX/USDT – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-11 06:00 UTC 25 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.70 %

Entry

8.4550

Target

8.0680 +4.58 %

closes in profit

Stop

9.0140 −6.61 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 1h signals ended in profit · on average +0.04 % per trade 7,442 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 7,442 closed crypto 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +1.64 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.47 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.49 % 22 % at stop avg −2.04 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 20 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 1h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.2 % – first candle

MODERATE Intraday

▲ Bullish 32 % (3.86) ▼ Bearish 68 % (8.23)

model score 68.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 22.0 % vs 31.8 % on average · stopped out 26.3 % vs 22.8 % (crypto, 3,284 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day
15:00TomorrowUSDExisting Home Sales●●○Forecast 4.04MPrevious 3.99Min 1 day
17:00TomorrowUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 07:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.66
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.65
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.22
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.20
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.06

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, KDJ, HMA, TTM) are aligned bearish on the 1H, suggesting immediate selling pressure.
Higher timeframes (15m-4h) are still bullish but weak, so this is likely a pullback within a larger uptrend unless 8.06800 breaks.
The invalidation level is 9.01400; a close above this would signal the bearish setup has failed.
The 8H-1D timeframes are bearish, adding weight to the sell signal but also indicating potential for a deeper correction.

The 1H SELL signal for AVA/XUSDT is driven by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators flipping bearish simultaneously: BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, HT SINE Cross Up, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down, HMA Direction Down, and TTM TREND Trend Down. This suggests a short-term shift in selling pressure, with price likely to retest the nearest support at 8.06800. However, the higher timeframes (15m to 4h) are still bullish, though with weak trend scores (1-2/5), indicating that the bearish signal is a counter-trend move within a broader bullish structure, or that the trend is losing momentum.

The bearish signal is stronger on the 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes, which are all bearish, albeit choppy. This alignment suggests that the 1H sell signal could be the beginning of a larger correction. The key resistance at 9.01400 is the invalidation level; a break above that would negate the bearish thesis. Conversely, a break below 8.06800 would confirm the downtrend and open the path for further declines. Given the moderate strength (68% probability), traders should watch for confirmation on lower timeframes and manage risk accordingly.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of eight independent indicators all flipping bearish simultaneously on the 1H timeframe.
▼ Bearish alignment on higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) supports the idea of a larger downtrend.
▼ The signal occurs after a period of bullish momentum, which may have created overbought conditions, increasing the likelihood of a pullback.
▼ The nearest support at 8.06800 is a clear target that aligns with the bearish move.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m-4h timeframes are still bullish, indicating that the sell signal may be a short-term dip within an ongoing uptrend.
▲ The overall trend strength is weak (scores 1-2/5), meaning momentum could fade quickly and reverse higher.
▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 9.01400, the bearish signal is invalidated, and shorts should be covered.
▲ The choppy/sideways nature on several timeframes suggests that false signals are possible, so confirmation of the breakdown below 8.06800 is important.