GBP/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-11 19:00 UTC 20 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.02 %

Entry

212.224

Target

211.511 +0.34 %

closes in profit

Stop

212.649 −0.20 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,411 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,411 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: TEMA Break Down, ALMA Break Down, T3 Retreat Down

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.4 % – first candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 37 % (4.61) ▼ Bearish 63 % (7.82)

model score 62.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.9 % vs 18.6 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 805 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for GBP/JPY

Full calendar

07:00TomorrowGBPGDP 3m/3m●●○Previous 0.7%in 11h
07:00TomorrowGBPGDP m/m●●●Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 11h
07:00TomorrowGBPGDP y/y●●●Forecast 1.3%Previous 1.4%in 11h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 19:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	TEMA Break Down	indicator	2.51
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.39
▲	STC Level Cross Up	indicator	1.90
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▲	Dragonfly Doji	candlestick	1.34
▲	Takuri Line	candlestick	1.20

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals on the 30M chart suggest a short-term pullback, but the trend is not strongly bearish across timeframes.
Mixed trend alignment: shorter timeframes are bullish, longer timeframes bearish, so the sell signal may be counter-trend.
Watch the 211.511 support; a break below it would confirm the bearish move, while a move above 212.649 would invalidate it.
The STC Level Cross Up is a conflicting signal, indicating some underlying buying pressure.

The 30-minute GBP/JPY chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a T3 Retreat Down, TEMA Break Down, ALMA Break Down, and a Dragonfly Doji/Takuri Line candlestick combination. These signals point to a short-term bearish reversal or pullback within a broader market that is still trying to establish direction. The trend scores are weak across all timeframes, with the shorter timeframes (15m, 30m) showing bullish forming trends, while the longer timeframes (2h to 12h) are bearish. This mixed alignment suggests that the sell signal may be a counter-trend move against the immediate bullish momentum, and its durability is uncertain.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 212.649 and support at 211.511. A break below the support could confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the signal. The presence of the STC Level Cross Up adds a conflicting element, as it hints at underlying buying pressure. Traders should treat this as a short-term opportunity, not a major trend reversal, and use the support/resistance levels for risk management.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish signals (T3, TEMA, ALMA breaks) align on the 30M chart, increasing conviction in the short-term direction.
▼ The longer timeframes (2h to 12h) are bearish, providing a broader context that supports the sell signal.
▼ The candlestick patterns (Dragonfly Doji, Takuri Line) often appear at potential reversal points, adding to the bearish case.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m and 30m trends are bullish, which could override the bearish signal if buying momentum persists.
▲ The STC Level Cross Up is a bullish signal that conflicts with the sell direction, potentially signaling a bounce.
▲ A move above the nearest resistance at 212.649 would invalidate the bearish setup and likely trigger a short squeeze.
▲ Weak trend scores across all timeframes indicate low conviction, so the move may be choppy and prone to false signals.