NZD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-11 19:00 UTC 20 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.01 %

Entry

0.55669

Target

0.56140 +0.85 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.55380 −0.52 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,411 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,411 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: WILLR OS Exit, RSI OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 88 % (12.48) ▼ Bearish 12 % (1.74)

model score 87.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.7 % vs 18.6 % on average · stopped out 13.9 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,066 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

21:45TodayNZDElectronic Card Retail Sales m/m●●○in 1h
13:30TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 17h
13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 17h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 19:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.86
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.74
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.71
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.55
▲	MACD Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.53
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▲	T3 Retreat Up	indicator	1.19
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.13
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.02
▲	Long Line Bullish	candlestick	1.02

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of bullish oscillators (BOP, MACD, RSI, STOCHF, WILLR) suggests a short-term bounce is underway.
The overall trend is bearish across all timeframes, so this is likely a counter-trend move, not a reversal.
Watch 0.56140 resistance: a rejection there reinforces the downtrend; a break above could open the door to further upside.
Support at 0.55380 is the critical level to monitor if the bounce loses momentum.

The NZD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, MACD Signal Cross Up, RSI exiting oversold, and a STOCHF KD Cross Up, all pointing to a short-term bounce. This is reinforced by a T3 Retreat Up and a Keltner Lower retreat, suggesting that downside momentum is stalling. However, the broader trend context remains bearish across all timeframes, with the 15-minute, 30-minute, and 1-hour charts showing strong or solid downtrends. The signal is therefore best interpreted as a counter-trend bounce within a larger decline, with the nearest resistance at 0.56140 acting as a likely ceiling.

The confluence of multiple oscillators exiting oversold conditions and crossing up indicates that the immediate selling pressure has subsided, and a corrective move higher is probable. Yet, the absence of bullish alignment on higher timeframes (4H, 8H are choppy/sideways) and the strong bearish trend on the lower timeframes suggest that any upside is likely limited. Traders should watch the 0.56140 resistance closely; a failure to break above it would confirm the bearish continuation, while a close above that level could signal a deeper reversal. The nearest support at 0.55380 remains the key downside target if the bounce fails.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oscillators (RSI, WILLR, STOCHF) exited oversold conditions simultaneously, indicating strong buying interest.
▲ MACD and BOP both crossed up, confirming a shift in momentum and buying pressure.
▲ The T3 Retreat Up and Keltner Lower retreat suggest price is pulling back from an oversold extreme, often leading to a bounce.
▲ The high probability (87%) and very strong strength of the signal increase the likelihood of a successful short-term move.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend on the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes could overwhelm the bounce, leading to a quick reversal.
▼ Resistance at 0.56140 is a strong barrier; a failure to break it would invalidate the bullish signal.
▼ Higher timeframe trends (4H, 8H) are choppy, providing no support for a sustained move higher.
▼ If the price breaks below the nearest support at 0.55380, the bounce thesis is invalidated and further downside is likely.