LUNC/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL With the trend 4× UPDATED

2026-11-11 04:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +1.49 %

Entry

0.00003882

Target

0.00003750 +3.40 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.00004058 −4.53 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 7 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.02 % per trade 2,230 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,230 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.55 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.75 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.73 % 22 % at stop avg −3.64 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 30 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Break Down, T3 Break Down, ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −27.9 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 14 % (3.74) ▼ Bearish 86 % (23.69)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 7 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for LUNC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 2h
15:00TodayUSDExisting Home Sales●●○Forecast 4.04MPrevious 3.99Min 4h
17:00TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.489MPrevious -0.865Min 6h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	3.56
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	3.06
▼	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down	indicator	2.19
▼	KST Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.83
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.82
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.75
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	0.97
▼	Collapsing Doji Star	candlestick	0.97
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	0.77

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNExtremely strong trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence across multiple indicators on the 4H chart.
All timeframes from 30m to 1d are bearish, with very strong trends on higher timeframes.
Key level to watch: 0.00004 acts as both nearest support and resistance—watch for a decisive break.
Signal strength is very strong with 93% probability, but always manage risk.

The 4H chart for LUN/CUSDT has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including MACD Signal Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, T3 Break Down, CTI OS Entry, KST Signal Cross Down, TSI Signal Cross Down, and ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down, alongside additional candlestick confirmations. This confluence indicates strong selling pressure and momentum alignment in favor of a continued downtrend. The trend across timeframes is uniformly bearish, with strength increasing from the 15m (choppy, weak) to the 12h (extremely strong) and 8h/1d (very strong). This multi-timeframe alignment reinforces the validity of the signal, suggesting that the bearish move is not isolated to the 4H but part of a broader, sustained decline.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.00004 and nearest support at 0.00004, which appear identical, indicating a tight range or a potential pivot zone. The proximity of these levels suggests that price may be at a critical juncture where a break below support could accelerate the decline, while a reclaim above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. Traders should monitor price action around this level for confirmation or reversal signals.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicator cross-downs (MACD, STOCH KD, KST, TSI, Ichimoku TK) all align bearish.
▼ MAMA PRICE and T3 Break Down confirm price momentum below key moving averages.
▼ CTI OS Entry signals oversold conditions that can fuel further downside in a strong trend.
▼ Higher timeframe trends (8H, 12H, 1D) are very strong or extremely strong, supporting the bearish bias.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m trend is choppy and weak, which could lead to short-term bounces or sideways action.
▲ Price is at a key level (0.00004) that acts as both support and resistance—a break above would invalidate the signal.
▲ Oversold conditions (CTI OS Entry) may trigger a technical rebound, especially if volume dries up.
▲ If the 4H trend loses momentum, the bearish alignment could fade, leading to a consolidation phase.