NEAR/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 4× UPDATED

2026-11-11 04:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +3.58 %

Entry

3.6290

Target

3.4460 +5.04 %

closes in profit

Stop

4.2700 −17.66 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 7 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.02 % per trade 2,230 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,230 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.55 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.75 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.73 % 22 % at stop avg −3.64 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 50 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: CMO Zero Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, BIAS Zero Cross Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

62.9 % ↓ −3.2 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +18% Swing

▲ Bullish 15 % (5.70) ▼ Bearish 85 % (32.83)

model score 85.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 7 candles

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for NEAR/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 2h
15:00TodayUSDExisting Home Sales●●○Forecast 4.04MPrevious 3.99Min 4h
17:00TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.489MPrevious -0.865Min 6h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 08:03 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.79
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.79
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.78
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.76
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	DPO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▲	RSX Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.35
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.03

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish momentum shift on the 4H chart, with multiple oscillators crossing down from overbought levels.
Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, supporting the 4H sell signal, though the 4H trend itself is still bullish/forming.
Watch the nearest support at 3.44600; a break could open the door to further downside, while resistance at 4.27000 is the key invalidation level.
The choppy lower timeframes suggest the move may be in early stages; confirmation on lower timeframes could strengthen the case.

The 4H chart for NEA/RUSDT has fired a dense cluster of bearish momentum signals, including BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, CMO Zero Cross Down, MOM Zero Cross Down, ROC Zero Cross Down, ROCR Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, and STOCHF KD Cross Down, among others. This broad-based momentum shift indicates that selling pressure has quickly replaced buying pressure after a period of overbought conditions. The signal strength is very strong, with an 87% probability, suggesting a high level of confluence among the indicators.

Across timeframes, the trend is mixed but leans bearish. The shorter timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are all bearish but choppy, while the 2H and 4H are still bullish, though the 4H trend is only forming. The higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, with the 8H and 12H showing solid trends. This alignment of bearish momentum on the signal timeframe and solid bearish trends on higher timeframes supports a downside move. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 4.27000 and the nearest support at 3.44600. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Broad-based momentum indicator convergence on the 4H (BOP, CCI, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSI, STOCHF all crossing down).
▼ Solid bearish trends on the 8H and 12H timeframes provide higher-timeframe support.
▼ Exit from overbought conditions (CCI OB Exit) often precedes sustained downward moves.
▼ High signal strength and probability (87%) indicate strong indicator alignment.

Risk Factors

▲ The 4H trend is still bullish and forming (2/5), which could limit downside if the higher-timeframe trend reasserts.
▲ Lower timeframes are choppy and weak (1/5), suggesting a lack of momentum confirmation on shorter horizons.
▲ A break back above the nearest resistance at 4.27000 would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ If the 4H bullish trend strengthens, it may conflict with the higher-timeframe bearish trends, leading to a range-bound market.