USD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 1× UPDATED

2026-11-10 21:00 UTC 2 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.05 %

Entry

158.764

Target

157.669 +0.69 %

closes in profit

Stop

160.268 −0.95 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,711 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,711 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KDJ Cross Down, AO Saucer Bearish, BOP Zero Cross Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +25.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +2% Intraday

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (9.17)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.3 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.6 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 684 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day
15:00TomorrowUSDExisting Home Sales m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous 1.5%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ULTOSC OB Exit	indicator	2.05
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.14
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.13
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.13
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.11
▼	STC OB Entry	indicator	1.08
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	0.96
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.88
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.68

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal cluster on the 1H timeframe, but higher timeframe trends are mixed.
Watch the 157.669 support level; a break below would confirm downside momentum.
Resistance at 158.768 is the key invalidation level for the bearish setup.
Trend scores are low across most timeframes, indicating choppy conditions and reduced signal reliability.

The USD/JPY 1H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, ULTOSC OB Exit, T3 Retreat Down, AO Saucer Bearish, KDJ Cross Down, STC OB Entry, HMA Retreat Down, and TTM TREND Trend Down, alongside additional signals. This confluence suggests strong downward momentum on the 1H timeframe, with multiple oscillators exiting overbought conditions and trend-following indicators turning lower.

However, the broader context is mixed. The 1H trend is still bullish (solid trend, 3/5), and the 30M and 15M timeframes are also bullish, which could mean the bearish signals are a pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a reversal. Higher timeframes (4H, 8H) are choppy/sideways, while 12H and 1D are bearish but also choppy. This mixed alignment reduces the reliability of the sell signal. Key levels to watch are resistance at 158.768 and support at 157.669. A break below support would confirm bearish continuation, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the downside scenario.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple oscillators (BOP, ULTOSC, KDJ, STC) are aligning bearish, suggesting strong momentum shift.
▼ Trend-following indicators (T3, HMA, TTM) are all pointing down, reinforcing the bearish signal.
▼ The 12H and 1D timeframes are bearish, providing a longer-term backdrop that supports the sell.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1H, 30M, and 15M trends are still bullish, which could mean the sell signal is a pullback within an uptrend.
▲ Higher timeframe trends (4H, 8H) are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear directional conviction.
▲ A break above resistance at 158.768 would invalidate the bearish setup and signal a potential reversal higher.
▲ Low trend scores across most timeframes suggest weak momentum and a higher chance of false signals.