AUD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-12 17:00 UTC 9 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %

Entry

108.734

Target

109.566 +0.77 %

closes in profit

Stop

108.237 −0.46 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,802 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,802 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.40 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: RSI OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +6% Intraday

▲ Bullish 89 % (11.63) ▼ Bearish 11 % (1.38)

model score 89.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.8 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,097 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 3 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 3 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.82
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.55
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.29
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.25
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	0.99
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	0.92

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of oversold-exit and momentum-cross signals suggests a strong short-term bullish bounce in AUD/JPY.
The broader trend is bearish across all key timeframes, so this is a counter-trend long within a downtrend.
Upside is capped by nearest resistance at 109.566; a break above could open further room, but the default is a corrective move.
Support at 108.676 is the invalidation level; a close below it would negate the bullish signal.

The AUD/JPY 1H signal has fired a dense cluster of momentum and mean-reversion indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, RSI exiting oversold, a STOCHF KD cross up, WILLR exiting oversold, and a KDJ cross up. Together these point to a sharp, short-term bullish bounce after a period of heavy selling. The HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up and ER Level Cross Down further suggest the start of a cyclical upswing, while the ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit highlights that price had moved statistically far from its mean, increasing the odds of a corrective rally.

However, the broader trend across all timeframes from 15m up to 8h remains bearish and solid, with only the 1D showing a choppy/sideways bias. This creates a clear conflict: the signal is a counter-trend bounce within a dominant downtrend. The nearest resistance at 109.566 is the immediate upside target, while support at 108.676 is the key invalidation zone. Traders should treat this as a scalp-level long, not a trend reversal, and watch for resistance to hold or momentum to fade.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oversold-exit indicators (RSI, WILLR) and momentum crosses (STOCHF, KDJ) align on the 1H timeframe, increasing confidence in a bounce.
▲ The ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicates price was statistically stretched to the downside, favoring a mean-reversion rally.
▲ The HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up adds a cyclical component, suggesting the bounce may have some duration.
▲ The signal's very strong strength (89% probability) reflects a high degree of confluence among the fired indicators.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend across 15m to 8h argues against a sustained rally; the bounce could quickly fade at resistance.
▼ Nearest resistance at 109.566 is a likely ceiling; failure to break it could lead to a resumption of the downtrend.
▼ Momentum signals are often early and can whipsaw in a strong downtrend; a close below support at 108.676 would invalidate the setup.
▼ The 1D timeframe is choppy/sideways, offering no higher-timeframe support for a reversal, so the trade is purely short-term.