AUD/USD – 2H – SELL

SELL With the trend NEW

2026-11-12 16:00 UTC 9 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %

Entry

0.68056

Target

0.67730 +0.48 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.69309 −1.84 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 14

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,109 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,109 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.43 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.21 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.23 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Descending Triangle, MAMA PRICE Break Down, DEMA Break Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +23% Intraday

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (45.63)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

19:00TodayUSDFederal Budget Balance●●○Forecast -$324.2BPrevious -$26.9Bin 50m
13:30TomorrowUSDCore PPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.7%in 19h
13:30TomorrowUSDPPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 1.3%in 19h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Descending Trianglebreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.76
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.72
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.46
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.38
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.27
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.24
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.02
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.95
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.28

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

AUD/USD is in a strong bearish alignment across all timeframes, with a Descending Triangle breakdown and multiple moving-average retreats confirming the sell signal.
The nearest resistance at 0.69309 is the critical level to watch; a break back above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
With no nearby support, downside could be open, but the daily trend is still forming, so caution is warranted.
Stochastic cross down adds momentum confirmation, but watch for any bullish reversal signals on lower timeframes.

The AUD/USD 2H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Descending Triangle breakdown and reinforced by multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MIDPOINT) plus a HT TRENDLINE retreat. The STOCH KD Cross Down confirms fading upside momentum. With eight timeframes from 15m through 12h all showing solid bearish trends (3/5) and the daily chart beginning to turn (2/5), the alignment is unusually strong, suggesting the move is not just a short-term pullback but a broader trend shift. The nearest resistance at 0.69309 now acts as the key ceiling; as long as price stays below it, the bearish structure remains intact.

The confluence of chart pattern and indicator signals, combined with trend scores of 3/5 across all intraday and mid-term timeframes, points to sustained selling pressure. The absence of a defined nearest support level means there is no immediate floor, which could allow for accelerated downside if momentum continues. However, traders should watch for any close back above 0.69309, which would invalidate the setup. The daily trend is still only 'forming' (2/5), so a failure to follow through on lower timeframes could signal a false breakdown.

Catalysts

▼ All timeframes from 15m to 12h show solid bearish trends (3/5), indicating strong trend alignment.
▼ Multiple moving averages (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MIDPOINT) are retreating, confirming broad-based selling pressure.
▼ Descending Triangle breakdown is a classic bearish pattern, reinforced by a high-timeframe trendline retreat.
▼ Stochastic KD cross down signals fading upside momentum, supporting the continuation of the downtrend.

Risk Factors

▲ A daily trend score of only 2/5 (forming) suggests the higher timeframe is not yet fully committed to the downside, which could lead to a pullback.
▲ If price climbs back above the nearest resistance at 0.69309, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ The absence of a defined support level means price could be prone to sharp reversals if sellers lose control.
▲ Momentum indicators like STOCH could become oversold, triggering a short-term bounce that tests the trend.