USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL With the trend NEW

2026-11-12 00:00 UTC 19 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.00 %

Entry

159.587

Target

158.665 +0.58 %

closes in profit

Stop

159.938 −0.22 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,411 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,411 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Rising Wedge, BBANDS LOWER Break Down, SUPERTREND Flip Bearish +13 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +60% Scalping

▲ Bullish 7 % (2.97) ▼ Bearish 93 % (40.86)

model score 93.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.1 % vs 18.6 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 703 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 12h
13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 12h
15:00TodayUSDFed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speech●●○in 14h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Nov 2026, 00:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Rising Wedgebreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.21
▼	BBANDS LOWER Break Down	indicator	2.37
▼	SUPERTREND Flip Bearish	indicator	1.96
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.78
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.21
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.19
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	1.19
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.12
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.95
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.94

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart, led by a Rising Wedge and multiple cross-down indicators, points to continued short-term downside.
Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m) are bearish and align with the signal, but higher timeframes (1h, 2h) remain bullish, creating a counter-trend context.
Key levels to watch: resistance at 159.93800 and support at 158.66500. A break below support could accelerate selling, while a bounce may occur near support.
The signal's high probability (93%) and very strong strength suggest robust momentum, but traders should be cautious of the bullish higher-timeframe trend.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Rising Wedge pattern, multiple zero-cross and cross-down indicators (BOP, CMO, DI, DM, RSI, STOCHF), and a break below the lower Bollinger Band. This confluence suggests strong downward momentum in the short term. The 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes both show a bearish trend, with the 30-minute trend rated as very strong (4/5), aligning with the signal's high probability (93%) and very strong strength.

However, the higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h, and above) remain bullish, with the 1-hour and 2-hour trends rated as very strong and solid respectively. This creates a conflicting picture: the bearish signal is a short-term counter-trend move within a larger uptrend. The nearest resistance at 159.93800 and support at 158.66500 define the immediate range. A sustained break below support could extend the decline, but the bullish higher timeframes may limit downside and invite buying interest.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple indicators (BOP, CMO, DI, DM, RSI, STOCHF) all crossing down simultaneously, reinforcing bearish momentum.
▼ The Rising Wedge pattern is a classic bearish reversal signal, and its completion adds weight to the downside move.
▼ A break below the lower Bollinger Band often indicates strong selling pressure and potential continuation.
▼ Short-term trend alignment: both 15m and 30m timeframes show bearish trends, with the 30m trend rated very strong.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h) are bullish, suggesting the current sell-off may be a pullback within a larger uptrend, limiting downside potential.
▲ A failure to break below the nearest support at 158.66500 could lead to a bounce, invalidating the bearish signal.
▲ The signal is on a 30-minute timeframe, which is prone to noise and whipsaws; the bullish daily and 4h trends may reassert themselves.
▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 159.93800, the bearish setup would be invalidated, and the higher-timeframe uptrend could resume.