₿ Crypto · Global

Bitcoin BTC · Forecast & Analysis

Crypto Global
74,195.46
+1.79 %
7 D · BTC/USDT
Updated 9 min ago
Overall assessment · Trend + news, checked against price
▬ Mixed weak Data coverage good
Price +1.79 % 24h · -4.21 % 7d · -11.43 % 30dTrend ▼ 5 of 8 timeframesNews ▼ 264 reports, latest 11.11.
◆ Price and assessment disagree right now

Trend and news alone would read bearish, but the price rose 1.79 % in 24 hours. We show no direction until this clears up. A normal day moves this asset by about 0.83 %.

Heads-up: USD Core CPI, Core CPI m/m came in better than expected for USD (27 h ago), weighs on BTC.

Heads-up: USD CPI, CPI m/m came in worse than expected for USD (27 h ago), supports BTC.

Heads-up: USD Core CPI n.s.a. m/m came in worse than the previous value for USD (27 h ago), supports BTC.

Heads-up: high-impact releases ahead: USD Initial Jobless Claims (in 20 h), USD EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (in 23 h). The outlook can shift noticeably around them.

The picture for Bitcoin is mixed: trend signals and the news both lean lower, yet BTC has just staged an unusually large rebound that no headline explains. The coming week and month remain framed bearishly until resistance is reclaimed.

News situation · 264 items / 30 D
▼ Bearish weak Data coverage good
4.5 Impact / 10
By source type
News 245 Release 8 Earnings 6 Filing 3 IPO 1 Analyst 1

18 of 264 straight from the issuer or regulator

Technicals · trend now
▼ Bearish medium Data coverage good

5 of 8 timeframes down

8 active signals (5 long / 3 short), strongest: 1H at 100 %

AI-generated · as of November 11, 2026
24 h
+1.79 %
Active signals
8 (5↑ / 3↓)
Technicals
Bearish
News, 30 days
Bearish
Chart

BTC chart by timeframe

Trendlines, support and resistance and patterns come from the newest signal of the selected timeframe.

BTC · 15M
Loading chart

Outlook

Outlook for Bitcoin

Direction, typical moves and upcoming dates from our own price, news and calendar data, recalculated on every visit. An assessment, not investment advice.

Next 7 days · 4h–8h trend and news
▼ Bearish medium
Data coverage good
60 % technicals 40 % news
Next 4 weeks · 12h–1d trend and news
▼ Bearish medium
Data coverage good
30 % technicals 70 % news
Next 3 months · news of the last 30 days only
▼ Bearish weak
Data coverage good

No price statement: our price history does not reach that far. Based on 264 news items.

What drives it
  • ETF outflows of about $1.6 billion since early November show fund demand shrinking fast.
  • A hot October CPI has markets pricing a December Fed rate hike, weighing on risk assets like BTC.
  • CryptoQuant's demand gauge collapsed to 20 from 90, a signal of extremely weak bitcoin demand.
  • A fresh cluster of fourteen bearish signals fired on the hourly chart only hours ago.
What argues against it
  • The last 24 hours brought an unusually large rise that no news explains.
  • ETF outflows have eased for three straight sessions, arguing against an immediate further leg down.
  • Loss-taking exchange inflows can mark capitulation and a short-term bottom rather than more selling.
  • Price has returned to the on-chain zone that marked sharp-correction bottoms in 2020 and 2023.
What would change the picture
  • A move above 75568.18 would weaken the bearish case; a break below 72727.27 would extend it.
  • Softer-than-expected PPI or retail sales could relieve pressure; hotter prints would deepen it.
  • Renewed ETF inflows would be the clearest sign the demand vacuum is closing.
Coming up
  • US: Jobless claims
  • US: EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change · expected -2.489M, previous -0.865M
  • US: Producer prices · expected 0.4%, previous 0.7%
All dates ↓ All times UTC.
Typical move

7 days: typically ±2.2%, strong from ±4.4%, actual −4.2%

30 days: typically ±4.5%, strong from ±9.1%, actual −11.4%

Economic data for BTC

Full calendar

Recently released

  • November 10, 2026USDCore CPI y/y●●●Forecast 2.8%Previous 2.6%BTCUSDT after 60 min: −0.85%since release: −0.29%27 h ago
  • November 10, 2026USDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%BTCUSDT after 60 min: −0.85%since release: −0.29%27 h ago
  • November 10, 2026USDCore CPI m/m●●●Actual 0.3%Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.3%better than expected for USDweighs on BTCBTCUSDT after 60 min: −0.85%since release: −0.29%27 h ago
  • November 10, 2026USDCPI●●●Actual 337.476Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298worse than expected for USDsupports BTCBTCUSDT after 60 min: −0.85%since release: −0.29%27 h ago
  • November 10, 2026USDCPI m/m●●●Actual 0.4%Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.6%worse than expected for USDsupports BTCBTCUSDT after 60 min: −0.85%since release: −0.29%27 h ago
  • November 10, 2026USDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Actual 0.2%Previous 0.4%worse than the previous value for USDsupports BTCBTCUSDT after 60 min: −0.85%since release: −0.29%27 h ago
  • November 10, 2026USDCore CPI●●●Actual 339.900Forecast 339.796Previous 338.896better than expected for USDweighs on BTCBTCUSDT after 60 min: −0.85%since release: −0.29%27 h ago

Coming up

  • TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 20h
  • TomorrowUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.489MPrevious -0.865Min 23h
  • November 13, 2026USDCore PPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.7%in 1 day
  • November 13, 2026USDPPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 1.3%in 1 day
  • November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 5 days
  • November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 5 days
  • November 18, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●in 6 days

All times UTC. Assessed against the consensus forecast, otherwise against the previous value. Price reaction measured on BTCUSDT.

Technicals

Trend across all eight timeframes

15M Scalping ▲ Bullish Trend forming ADX 24.0
30M Scalping ▬ Neutral Choppy / sideways ADX 14.7
1H Intraday ▬ Neutral Choppy / sideways ADX 13.9
2H Intraday ▼ Bearish Solid trend ADX 38.5
4H Swing ▼ Bearish Very strong trend ADX 45.3
8H Swing ▼ Bearish Solid trend ADX 44.9
12H Position ▼ Bearish Solid trend ADX 41.2
1D Position ▼ Bearish Solid trend ADX 36.7

Every timeframe from two hours to twelve hours trends lower, with the four-hour chart strongest. A fresh cluster of bearish signals fired on the hourly chart just hours ago, while older oversold-bounce signals higher up read as corrective attempts within the decline.

By trading style

What this means for your trading style

Scalping 15m · 30m
▲ Bullish medium Data coverage good
PRO
66 %
historical hit rate · 442 comparable setups
  • On the shortest 15- and 30-minute charts momentum points up, in step with the sharp rebound, though such moves can fade quickly.
Intraday 1h · 2h
▬ Mixed weak Data coverage good

Trend and news alone would read bearish, but the price rose 1.79 % in 24 hours. We show no direction until this clears up. A normal day moves this asset by about 0.83 %.

PRO
63 %
historical hit rate · 232 comparable setups
  • The hourly and two-hour charts conflict: a fresh bearish signal cluster fires even as oversold-bounce signals linger, so no clear intraday call.
Double Top Symmetrical Triangle
Swing 4h · 8h
▼ Bearish medium Data coverage good
PRO
73 %
historical hit rate · 81 comparable setups
  • The four- and eight-hour trend remains firmly bearish, so any further bounce is treated as corrective within the larger decline.
Position 12h · 1d
▼ Bearish medium Data coverage good
PRO
69 %
historical hit rate · 29 comparable setups
  • The twelve-hour chart is bearish while the daily trend is only just forming, leaving the larger picture tilted lower but not confirmed.
Signal history

Both worlds over time

One dot per day and source, 30 days. Technicals: trend across all timeframes at the close of the day. News: net direction of the day.

Bullish ▲Bearish ▼12.10. · News signal · 113.10. · News signal · 1013.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 2 of 8 timeframes down14.10. · News signal · 614.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 3 of 8 timeframes down15.10. · News signal · 715.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 3 of 8 timeframes down16.10. · News signal · 816.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 3 of 8 timeframes down17.10. · News signal · 217.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 6 of 8 timeframes down18.10. · News signal · 118.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Neutral · mixed: 4 up, 2 down of 819.10. · News signal · 819.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Neutral · mixed: 1 up, 1 down of 820.10. · News signal · 1020.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bullish · 5 of 8 timeframes up21.10. · News signal · 621.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bullish · 4 of 8 timeframes up22.10. · News signal · 622.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 4 of 8 timeframes down23.10. · News signal · 823.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 5 of 8 timeframes down24.10. · News signal · 224.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 3 of 8 timeframes down25.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 6 of 8 timeframes down26.10. · News signal · 426.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 6 of 8 timeframes down27.10. · News signal · 1027.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bullish · 5 of 8 timeframes up28.10. · News signal · 728.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bullish · 5 of 8 timeframes up29.10. · News signal · 1029.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 6 of 8 timeframes down30.10. · News signal · 1130.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 6 of 8 timeframes down31.10. · News signal · 831.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 5 of 8 timeframes down01.11. · News signal · 101.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Neutral · mixed: 2 up, 3 down of 802.11. · News signal · 802.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 7 of 8 timeframes down03.11. · News signal · 703.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Neutral · mixed: 2 up, 5 down of 804.11. · News signal · 1604.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bullish · 6 of 8 timeframes up05.11. · News signal · 1005.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 8 of 8 timeframes down06.11. · News signal · 2506.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 6 of 8 timeframes down07.11. · News signal · 607.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 7 of 8 timeframes down08.11. · News signal · 208.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 8 of 8 timeframes down09.11. · News signal · 2209.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 5 of 8 timeframes down10.11. · News signal · 2210.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 6 of 8 timeframes down11.11. · News signal · 2011.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 5 of 8 timeframes down · current
30 days ago today
Technicals (trend of the day) News signal Size: news = reports that day, technicals = timeframes with data
Active signals

8 active signals for BTC

Last 72 hours

Signal BTC/USDT · 1H · SELL 100% VERY STRONG
▲ 0% ▼ 100%
UPDATED Intraday Premium With the trend Forecast 57%
Double Top Symmetrical Triangle
15M
30M
1H
2H
4H
8H
12H
1D
News, 30 days

What is being reported about BTC

News Bearish Impact 4/10
Bitcoin Stalls at $74K as CoreWeave Jumps 21% and 10-Year Yield Hits 5.02%
Bitcoin stayed stuck near $74,000 between the 21-week ($73,078) and 50-week ($75,492) moving averages and failed to follow the tech-stock rally. Hot C…
November 11, 2026
News Bearish Impact 5/10
Bitcoin ETFs See $1.28 Billion Outflow as GENIUS Act Rules Loom for 2027
U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs lost $1.28 billion in the week to Nov. 6, the largest weekly outflow since late June, and the funds now show $914 million in ne…
November 11, 2026
News Bullish Impact 3/10
Deutsche Bank Launches Institutional Crypto Custody Service in Germany
Germany's largest lender now lets institutional and corporate clients store and transfer Bitcoin through the bank under MiCA registration, adding regu…
November 11, 2026
News Bearish Impact 6/10
Bitcoin Tests $74K Support as Crypto Market Cap Slips to $2.45T
Bitcoin has fallen below $74K to its lowest level since August and is testing its 200-day moving average, with a break below likely to significantly e…
November 11, 2026
News Neutral Impact 2/10
FSB Urges Turkey to Strengthen Crypto Oversight and Stablecoin Rules
The FSB's peer review urges Turkey to tighten crypto oversight and add stablecoin rules, but it is a non-binding recommendation acknowledging progress…
November 11, 2026
Earnings Neutral Impact 2/10
CoreWeave Shares Jump 10% as AI Infrastructure Stocks Rally on Q3 Results
Bitcoin was little changed around $74,000 over 24 hours even as AI stocks and Nasdaq futures rallied, showing it is breaking with the equity rebound. …
November 11, 2026
Full analysis

In-depth analysis of Bitcoin

AI-generated · as of November 11, 2026

Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency, fell to an 11-week low near 72,670 this week after a clear fall over the past week and an unusually large drop over the month, breaking below the short-term holders' average cost basis of about 75,700. The news flow is uniformly downbeat.

Read full analysis

A hotter-than-expected October CPI pushed markets to price a December Fed rate hike, with a 50-basis-point move no longer ruled out, and BTCUSDT slipped roughly 0.85% in the first hour after the release, in line with the weight a firmer rate path puts on risk assets. Fund demand is the clearest wound: US spot ETFs shed about 1.6 billion dollars this month, the largest weekly outflow since late June, while MARA sold more than 13,500 BTC and roughly 47,000 coins reached exchanges at a loss in a single day. The technical side agrees on the larger frame: every trend from two hours to twelve hours points down, the four-hour chart strongest, and a fresh fourteen-signal bearish cluster fired on the hourly chart just hours ago. Against all this stands one awkward fact. The price has risen unusually sharply over the last 24 hours, and nothing in the news explains it. Outflows have eased for three sessions and the on-chain picture has reached zones that marked past bottoms, so the rebound could be a genuine low forming; equally, it could be a bounce inside a decline. Levels tell the story: 75568.18 is the first ceiling, 72727.27 the nearest floor and 81196.01 the bigger barrier. Watch initial jobless claims shortly, then producer prices and retail sales in the coming days, for the macro tone.

Frequently asked questions about Bitcoin

Why is the overall verdict mixed when the outlook is bearish?

Because trend signals and the news both lean lower, yet the price has just risen unusually sharply over the last 24 hours with nothing in the news explaining the move. That disagreement is the message: the bearish frame for the week and month stands, but the rebound warns against pressing the downside case until the levels confirm it.

What did the latest US inflation report do to Bitcoin?

October CPI came in above forecast, making a December Fed rate hike look near-certain and even opening the door to a larger move. BTC fell about 0.85% in the hour after the release, consistent with the pressure a firmer rate path puts on risk assets. Producer prices and retail sales in the coming days are the next tests for the dollar tone.

Which price levels matter for BTC right now?

Resistance at 75568.18 is the first hurdle, and reclaiming it would weaken the bearish case. Below, 72727.27 is the nearest support, where a break could accelerate selling. Higher up, 81196.01 is the larger barrier any recovery would need to clear. Check the analysis date shown, since these levels move with the market.

Asset Snapshot

📝 Overview Generated automatically

BTC has been the subject of 3093 signals across 3093 articles in the last 365 days. Sentiment skews Bullish (40%).

Breakdown: 1235 bullish, 1126 bearish, 732 neutral.

Most-cited catalysts: Risk-off sentiment (4×), Institutional adoption narrative reinforced (2×), ETF outflows (2×). Most-cited risk factors: Regulatory crackdowns on crypto (5×), Broader crypto market volatility (5×), Regulatory crackdown on crypto (5×).

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