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US02Y chart by timeframe
Trendlines, support and resistance and patterns come from the newest signal of the selected timeframe.
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Signal history
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Technical and news signals of the last 30 days on one timeline.
30 days ago
today
Technical signal
News signal
Size = strength
News, 30 days
What is being reported about US02Y
Neutral
Impact 3/10
Post-CPI Bond Bets Hold at 50% for September Fed Rate Hike
The CPI report left market-implied odds of a September Fed hike unchanged at 50%, directly impacting short-end Treasury yields. US02Y yields, which cl…
August 12, 2026
Bearish
Impact 8/10
Fed Policymakers Divided on Rate Hikes as Stubborn Inflation Pressures Patience
The 2-year yield, more sensitive to Fed policy, rose 7 basis points as the market priced a higher chance of a September hike.…
August 7, 2026
Neutral
Impact 10/10
August Jobs Report Could Tip Fed to Hike Again, Bond Traders on High Alert
The 2-year yield, most sensitive to Fed policy, stands at the center of the jobs-data storm. A print above 200k could push it beyond 5.10% as the mark…
August 7, 2026
Bullish
Impact 7/10
Fed Governor Cook Warns She'd Back Rate Hike If Disinflation Stalls
Cook's hawkish signal directly impacts the short end of the curve, pushing the 2-year yield higher as markets reprice rate hike odds.…
August 6, 2026
Bearish
Impact 6/10
BofA’s Cabana: Silent Fed Risks Treasury Selloff, ‘You Can’t Fool the Bond’
The 2-year yield, sensitive to Fed policy expectations, is poised to climb as markets price out rate cuts absent Fed signaling.…
August 4, 2026
Bullish
Impact 6/10
Japan Taps Fed Repo to Ease Treasury Supply Pressure, Calming Bond Markets
Short-end Treasury yields benefit from reduced supply pressure from Japan’s repo operations, as the entire curve reacts to central bank liquidity move…
August 3, 2026
Asset Snapshot
📝 Overview Generated automatically?
US02Y has been the subject of 77 signals across 77 articles in the last 365 days. Sentiment skews Bearish (51%).
Breakdown: 28 bullish, 39 bearish, 10 neutral. AI confidence averages 78% across all signals.
Most-cited catalysts: Market repricing of Fed policy path (2×), War shock (1×), Fed rate expectation repricing (1×). Most-cited risk factors: Dovish Fed pivot (2×), Fed emergency dovish pivot (1×), Flight-to-safety back into short-term Treasuries (1×).
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