BTC/USDT – 30M – KAUF

KAUF 3× AKTUALISIERT CLOSED
vor 49 Tagen
Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.3 % vs 37.5 % average · stopped out 46.8 % vs 19.8 % (Crypto, 570 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
BTC/USDT  ·  30M
Lädt…
Signal-Verlauf

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 6 × 30m 0%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Ausgelöste Signale

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (1 Aug 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Ausgelöste Signale Category Weight
MA Retreat Up indicator 2.00
Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (79%)continuation fibonacci 1.93
DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.84
STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.46
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.45
MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.36
ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.36
ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.36
High Wave Bullish candlestick 1.15
Bullish Engulfing candlestick 0.91

Trend-Kontext

15M
DOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos
30M
DOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos
1H
DOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos
2H
DOWNTrend entsteht
4H
DOWNTrend entsteht
8H
DOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos
12H
DOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos
1D
DOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos

Analyse

🎯 Die wichtigsten Erkenntnisse
  • Multiple momentum and trend indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF, DEMA, MA) fired bullish on the 30M chart, indicating strong short-term buying pressure.
  • The Fibonacci retracement at 79% adds confluence, suggesting the price has retraced deeply and may be due for a bounce.
  • However, all higher timeframes (15m to 1d) are bearish or choppy, so this is likely a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 65409.56 and support at 62466.00; a break above resistance could signal further upside, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish setup.
The signal stack on BTC/USDT 30M is overwhelmingly bullish, with a cluster of momentum and trend indicators crossing upward simultaneously: BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF KD, DEMA, MA, and a Fibonacci retracement at 79% all fired in the same direction. This confluence suggests strong buying pressure and a potential reversal or continuation of an uptrend on the 30-minute chart. However, the higher timeframes (15m through 1d) all show bearish or choppy/sideways conditions, with only the 2h and 4h showing early trend formation (2/5). This creates a clear conflict: the short-term momentum is bullish, but the broader trend remains bearish, so the signal should be viewed as a counter-trend bounce rather than a confirmed trend reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 65409.56 and support at 62466.00. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum and could lead to further upside, while a drop below support would invalidate the signal and likely resume the broader downtrend. Given the very strong probability (100%) and strength, the signal is compelling, but traders should be cautious of the bearish higher timeframes and avoid over-leveraging. The Fibonacci retracement at 79% suggests the price has retraced deeply, which can often precede a bounce, but it also may indicate weakness if the retracement extends beyond key levels.
Auslöser
  • Confluence of multiple indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF KD, DEMA, MA) all firing bullish simultaneously, indicating strong momentum alignment.
  • Fibonacci retracement at 79% often acts as a strong support zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce.
  • Very strong signal strength (100% probability) suggests high confidence in the short-term direction.
  • The 2h and 4h timeframes show early trend formation, hinting that the bearish trend may be losing momentum.
Risikofaktoren
  • Higher timeframes (15m to 1d) are all bearish, so the bullish signal may be a temporary counter-trend bounce within a broader downtrend.
  • If the price fails to hold above the nearest support at 62466.00, the bullish setup is invalidated and the downtrend could resume.
  • The bearish trend scores (1/5) across most timeframes indicate weak momentum, which could quickly fade the bounce.
  • The 79% Fibonacci retracement level could be a trap if the price breaks below it, accelerating the decline.
Symbol BTC/USDT
Zeitrahmen 30M
Richtung KAUF
Conviction 0%
Strength WEAK
Datum 2026-08-01 10:30
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Unterstützung & Widerstand

Niveau Preis Gebildet
R1 65,409.56000 2026-07-31
S1 62,466.00000 2026-07-31

Tags

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