ETH/BTC – 1H – KAUF
KAUF 2× AKTUALISIERT CLOSED
vor 48 Tagen
⚠ Opened against the trend in
6 of 8 timeframes.
Target hit 21.0 %
vs 37.3 % average ·
stopped out 31.9 %
vs 20.0 %
(Crypto, 520 closed runs).
Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
Lädt…
Signal-Verlauf
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Ausgelöste Signale
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Ausgelöste Signale | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Double Topstate only | chart_pattern | 3.76 |
| ▲ | CCI OS Exit | indicator | 2.32 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Downstate only | trendline | 2.11 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Upcontinuation | sr | 2.06 |
| ▲ | RSI OS Exit | indicator | 1.80 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (100%)continuation | fibonacci | 1.74 |
| ▲ | STOCH OS Exit | indicator | 1.70 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.55 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.37 |
| ▲ | ADX Trend Strong | indicator | 1.07 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 0.98 |
| ▲ | Inverted Hammer | candlestick | 0.79 |
| ▲ | Tweezers Bottom | candlestick | 0.73 |
Trend-Kontext
15MDOWNSehr starker Trend
30MDOWNSolider Trend
1HDOWNTrend entsteht
2HDOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos
4HDOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos
8HDOWNTrend entsteht
12HUPSolider Trend
1DUPExtrem starker Trend
Analyse
🎯 Die wichtigsten Erkenntnisse
- A dense cluster of bullish signals on the 1H suggests a potential reversal from oversold conditions.
- The nearest support at 0.02923 is the key level to hold for the bullish case; a break below would invalidate the setup.
- Resistance at 0.02978 is the immediate upside target; a break above could signal further gains.
- Longer timeframes (12H, 1D) are bullish, but the 1H and lower timeframes are still bearish, so expect possible choppiness.
The 1H chart for ETH/BTC has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, Double Top, and a host of oversold exits (RSI, STOCH, CCI) alongside a BOP Zero Cross Up and an ADX Trend Strong reading. Together, these indicate that the recent bearish momentum is exhausting and a reversal is underway. The confluence of multiple indicator groups—candlestick, indicator, trendline, chart pattern, Fibonacci, and support/resistance—strengthens the case for a bounce off the nearest support at 0.02923. However, the trend across timeframes is mixed: the 15m through 8h timeframes are bearish, with the 1H trend only forming (2/5), while the 12H and 1D are strongly bullish. This suggests the current bullish signal is a counter-trend move within a larger bullish structure, and the immediate higher timeframes are still bearish, which could limit upside.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.02978 and support at 0.02923. A break above resistance would confirm the reversal and open the path toward higher levels, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish setup. Given the strong trend scores on the daily (5/5 bullish) and 12H (3/5 bullish), the longer-term bias remains upward, but traders should be cautious of the bearish pressure on the 1H and lower timeframes. The signal's high probability (75%) and strong strength reflect the numerous confirmations, yet the conflicting lower timeframe trends warrant careful risk management.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.02978 and support at 0.02923. A break above resistance would confirm the reversal and open the path toward higher levels, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish setup. Given the strong trend scores on the daily (5/5 bullish) and 12H (3/5 bullish), the longer-term bias remains upward, but traders should be cautious of the bearish pressure on the 1H and lower timeframes. The signal's high probability (75%) and strong strength reflect the numerous confirmations, yet the conflicting lower timeframe trends warrant careful risk management.
Auslöser
- ▲ Multiple oversold exits (RSI, STOCH, CCI) align with a BOP Zero Cross Up, indicating buying pressure is returning.
- ▲ The Trendline Break Down and Double Top patterns suggest a bullish reversal from a bearish structure.
- ▲ Strong ADX reading confirms the strength of the move, and the signal probability is high at 75%.
- ▲ The 12H and 1D timeframes are strongly bullish, providing a supportive backdrop for the reversal.
Risikofaktoren
- ▼ The 1H trend is only forming (2/5) and lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are bearish, which could cap the upside.
- ▼ If the price breaks below the nearest support at 0.02923, the bullish signal is invalidated and a deeper decline is possible.
- ▼ The nearest resistance at 0.02978 is close by and could act as a ceiling, especially if the bearish momentum on the 1H persists.
- ▼ The conflicting trend scores across timeframes (bearish on 1H-8H, bullish on 12H-1D) suggest a possible range-bound or choppy market.
Symbol
ETH/BTC
Zeitrahmen
1H
Richtung
KAUF
Conviction
3%
Strength
WEAK
Datum
2026-08-03 18:00
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Unterstützung & Widerstand
| Niveau | Preis | Gebildet |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.02978 | 2026-08-02 |
| R2 | 0.02986 | 2026-07-31 |
| R3 | 0.02996 | 2026-07-30 |
| S1 | 0.02923 | 2026-08-01 |