BTC/USDT – 2H – VERKAUF

VERKAUF 3× AKTUALISIERT CLOSED
vor 46 Tagen
BTC/USDT  ·  2H
Lädt…
Signal-Verlauf

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 5 × 2h 4%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Ausgelöste Signale

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Aug 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Ausgelöste Signale Category Weight
WILLR OB Exit indicator 2.10
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%)continuation fibonacci 1.78
ADXR Trend Strong indicator 1.49
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.44
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.42
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.27
AROON Strong Downtrend indicator 1.11
Trendline Retreat Downcontinuation trendline 1.01
Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 0.61

Trend-Kontext

15M
DOWNTrend entsteht
30M
UPSeitwärts / richtungslos
1H
UPTrend entsteht
2H
UPSolider Trend
4H
UPSeitwärts / richtungslos
8H
DOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos
12H
DOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos
1D
DOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos

Analyse

🎯 Die wichtigsten Erkenntnisse
  • Multiple bearish signals on the 2H chart suggest a potential short-term reversal from the recent uptrend.
  • Resistance at 65409.56 is the key level to watch; a failure to break above it supports the bearish case.
  • Support at 62300.00 is the next major downside target; a break below could lead to further decline.
  • The signal is weak (62% probability), so treat it as a short-term opportunity, not a strong trend change.
The 2H chart for BTC/USDT has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down, ADXR Trend Strong, AROON Strong Downtrend, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, and a Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%). These signals collectively indicate that the recent uptrend on the 2H timeframe is losing momentum and that sellers are stepping in. The trend scores across timeframes are mixed, with shorter timeframes (15m, 1h) showing emerging bearish or weak bullish trends, while the 2H itself has a solid bullish trend (3/5) that is now being challenged. Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish but choppy, suggesting that the larger context may still favor downside. The nearest resistance at 65409.56 is a key level to watch; a failure to reclaim it could confirm the bearish reversal, while support at 62300.00 is the next major downside target.

Given the weak probability (62%) and weak strength, traders should treat this signal as a potential short-term reversal rather than a strong trend change. The confluence of multiple indicators pointing down on the 2H chart, combined with the bearish higher timeframes, supports a bearish bias. However, the mixed trend scores on intermediate timeframes (30m, 4h) and the solid 2H bullish trend suggest that the downside may be limited unless price breaks below the support. Key levels to monitor are the resistance at 65409.56 and support at 62300.00. A break below support would likely accelerate selling, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Auslöser
  • Confluence of multiple bearish signals (trendline, ADXR, AROON, BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, HT PHASOR, Fibonacci) on the 2H chart.
  • Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, aligning with the 2H bearish signal.
  • Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) indicates a break below a key retracement level, adding to the bearish confluence.
  • The 15m timeframe is also bearish, suggesting short-term momentum is aligned with the signal.
Risikofaktoren
  • The 2H trend score is still bullish (3/5), indicating that the uptrend may have momentum to continue.
  • Intermediate timeframes (30m, 4h) are bullish or choppy, which could limit downside follow-through.
  • The signal is weak (62% probability) and strength is weak, so false signals are possible.
  • If price reclaims the resistance at 65409.56, the bearish setup would be invalidated, and the uptrend could resume.
Symbol BTC/USDT
Zeitrahmen 2H
Richtung VERKAUF
Conviction 4%
Strength WEAK
Datum 2026-08-05 20:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Unterstützung & Widerstand

Niveau Preis Gebildet
R1 65,409.56000 2026-07-31
R2 65,744.60000 2026-07-27
R3 65,808.59000 2026-07-24
S1 62,300.00000 2026-08-03
S2 62,275.00000 2026-08-01

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