BTC/USDT – 1H – KAUF

KAUF 2× AKTUALISIERT CLOSED
vor 42 Tagen
BTC/USDT  ·  1H
Lädt…
Signal-Verlauf

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 7 × 1h 29%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Ausgelöste Signale

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Ausgelöste Signale Category Weight
Symmetrical Trianglecontinuation chart_pattern 3.00
MIDPOINT Break Up indicator 2.85
MACD Hidden Bull Div divergence 2.76
DEMA Break Up indicator 2.74
AO Hidden Bull Div divergence 2.69
MAMA PRICE Break Up indicator 2.55
EMA Break Up indicator 2.47
MIDPRICE Break Up indicator 2.41
Momentum Hidden Bull Div divergence 2.31
Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%)continuation fibonacci 2.25
RSI Hidden Bull Div divergence 2.17
EMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 2.11
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 1.99
Williams %R Hidden Bull Div divergence 1.97
Trendline Break Upcontinuation trendline 1.95
SMA Retreat Up indicator 1.94
MA Break Up indicator 1.89
KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.86
Trendline Retreat Upcontinuation trendline 1.70
HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.27
Spinning Top Bullish candlestick 1.07

Trend-Kontext

15M
UPSolider Trend
30M
UPSolider Trend
1H
UPSeitwärts / richtungslos
2H
UPSeitwärts / richtungslos
4H
UPSeitwärts / richtungslos
8H
UPSeitwärts / richtungslos
12H
DOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos
1D
DOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos

Analyse

🎯 Die wichtigsten Erkenntnisse
  • A dense cluster of bullish signals fired on the 1H chart, including a Symmetrical Triangle breakout and multiple moving average breakouts, indicating strong short-term buying momentum.
  • The immediate upside target is resistance at 65390.99; a break above it could extend the rally, while support at 64730.08 is the key level to watch for invalidation.
  • Trend alignment is mixed: lower timeframes (15m/30m) are solidly bullish, but higher timeframes (12H/1D) remain bearish, so this may be a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend.
  • Given the 98% probability and very strong strength, the signal is compelling, but confirmation of follow-through is essential before committing.
The 1H BTC/USDT signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish indicators — a Trendline Break Up, Trendline Retreat Up, Symmetrical Triangle breakout, DEMA/EMA Break Ups, EMA 50 Retreat Up, HT Trendline Retreat Up, and KAMA Retreat Up — alongside multiple supporting signals from candlestick, chart pattern, divergence, indicator, trendline, and Fibonacci groups. This confluence suggests strong buying pressure on the 1H timeframe, with the price breaking above a symmetrical triangle and reclaiming key moving averages. The nearest resistance at 65390.99 is the immediate upside target, while support at 64730.08 should hold if the breakout is genuine.

However, the broader trend is mixed: while 15m and 30m are bullish with solid trend scores, the 1H through 8H timeframes are bullish but choppy/sideways, and the 12H and 1D are bearish. This divergence warns that the 1H bullish signal may be a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. The high probability (98%) and very strong strength are encouraging, but traders should watch for the price to sustain above the breakout level and the 1H EMA, as a failure could trigger a retest of support or a reversal back into the bearish higher timeframe trend.
Auslöser
  • High confluence of signals: over 20 indicators spanning candlestick, chart pattern, divergence, indicator, trendline, and Fibonacci groups all align bullish.
  • Symmetrical Triangle breakout on the 1H chart, a classic continuation pattern that often leads to sustained moves.
  • Multiple moving average breakouts (DEMA, EMA, EMA 50) and a KAMA retreat up suggest momentum is shifting in favor of buyers.
  • Lower timeframe trends (15m/30m) are solidly bullish, providing a supportive backdrop for the 1H move.
Risikofaktoren
  • Higher timeframe trends are bearish (12H/1D), so the bullish signal could be a counter-trend rally that fades at resistance.
  • The 1H through 8H timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of strong trend conviction that could lead to false breakouts.
  • A daily close below the nearest support at 64730.08 would invalidate the bullish setup and could trigger a sharp sell-off.
  • The 98% probability is based on historical signal accuracy, but market conditions can change rapidly; always use proper risk management.
Symbol BTC/USDT
Zeitrahmen 1H
Richtung KAUF
Conviction 29%
Strength WEAK
Datum 2026-08-09 14:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Unterstützung & Widerstand

Niveau Preis Gebildet
R1 65,390.99000 2026-08-07
S1 64,730.08000 2026-08-09
S2 64,166.00000 2026-08-07
S3 63,880.00000 2026-08-05

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