USD/CAD – 4H – VENTE

VENTE NOUVEAU

2026-10-12 00:00 UTC il y a 18 heures

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.22 %

Entry

1.42539

Target

1.42040 +0.35 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.42938 −0.28 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 4 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 49 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 316 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 316 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

24 % at target avg +0.39 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 34 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.32 % 16 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: DEMA Break Down, ALMA Break Down, STOCH KD Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 20,961 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +4% Swing

▲ Bullish 9 % (1.04) ▼ Bearish 91 % (10.23)

model score 5.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 5 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.3 % vs 17.6 % on average · stopped out 13.4 % vs 11.4 % (forex, 320 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	3.02
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.96
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.18
▲	Matching Low	candlestick	1.04
▼	Long Line Bearish	candlestick	0.93

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSans direction

30M

DOWNTendance naissante

UPTendance naissante

UPTendance très forte

12H

UPTendance très forte

UPTendance solide

Analysis

🎯 Points clés

Les signaux baissiers sur 4H suggèrent un potentiel de baisse à court terme vers 1,42040.
Les horizons temporels supérieurs (8H, 12H) restent haussiers, indiquant un repli potentiel dans une tendance haussière.
Surveillez la résistance à 1,42938 ; une cassure au-dessus annulerait la configuration baissière.
Tradez prudemment compte tenu de la tendance contradictoire sur les horizons supérieurs.

Le graphique USD/CAD en 4H a déclenché un puissant groupe de signaux baissiers : le STOCH KD Cross Down, DEMA Break Down, ALMA Break Down, HMA Retreat Down, Matching Low et Long Line Bearish. Ces indicateurs et modèles de chandeliers suggèrent ensemble un retournement baissier à court terme ou un repli dans la tendance haussière plus large. La confluence des cassures de moyennes mobiles et des signaux de momentum baissier indique une pression vendeuse accrue, avec le support le plus proche à 1,42040 comme objectif de baisse immédiat.

Cependant, la tendance sur les horizons temporels supérieurs est principalement haussière, avec de fortes tendances haussières sur les graphiques 8H et 12H. Cela crée un conflit : les signaux baissiers en 4H pourraient représenter un mouvement correctif plutôt qu'un retournement complet. La résistance la plus proche à 1,42938 est un niveau clé à surveiller ; une cassure au-dessus invaliderait la thèse baissière. Les traders doivent surveiller si le prix respecte le niveau de support et si le momentum baissier persiste, car la tendance sur les horizons supérieurs pourrait se réaffirmer.

Catalyseurs

▼ Plusieurs indicateurs et modèles de chandeliers s'alignent baissiers sur 4H.
▼ La rupture des moyennes mobiles clés (DEMA, ALMA) confirme le momentum baissier.
▼ Les modèles de chandeliers Matching Low et Long Line Bearish renforcent la pression vendeuse.
▼ Le croisement baissier du Stochastic KD signale un affaiblissement du momentum haussier.

Facteurs de risque

▲ Les tendances sur les horizons supérieurs (8H, 12H) sont fortement haussières, ce qui pourrait dominer le signal baissier sur 4H.
▲ Les tendances sur 1H et 2H sont haussières, suggérant un support possible à proximité.
▲ Si le prix casse au-dessus de 1,42938, la configuration baissière est invalidée.
▲ La tendance sur 15M est instable/neutre, indiquant une faible conviction dans le mouvement à court terme.