BTC/USDT – 4H – VENTE

VENTE 3× ACTUALISÉ

2026-10-15 16:00 UTC il y a 21 heures

The plan for this signal Running · now +1.19 %

Entry

82,384.73

Target

81,033.66 +1.64 %

closes in profit

Stop

84,352.00 −2.39 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 56 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.07 % per trade 1,318 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,318 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.76 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.83 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.91 % 19 % at stop avg −3.97 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 50 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

62.9 % ↑ +23.9 vs previous candle

STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 15 % (7.70) ▼ Bearish 85 % (42.25)

model score 84.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Oct 2026, 20:02 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	2.24
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.84
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.39
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.30
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.21
▼	Bearish Harami Cross	candlestick	0.79

Trend Context

15M

UPTendance naissante

30M

UPSans direction

UPTendance naissante

DOWNTendance naissante

DOWNTendance solide

DOWNSans direction

12H

DOWNSans direction

DOWNTendance naissante

Analysis

🎯 Points clés

Les signaux baissiers sur 4H s'alignent avec une tendance baissière solide sur les unités de temps supérieures.
Surveillez une cassure sous 81033.66 pour confirmer la continuation baissière.
Le momentum haussier à court terme sur les unités de temps inférieures pourrait provoquer un rebond.
La résistance à 84352.00 est le niveau clé pour invalider le signal baissier.

Le graphique 4H pour BTC/USDT a déclenché une série de signaux baissiers, notamment BOP Zero Cross Down, EMA Retreat Down, SMA Retreat Down et HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, accompagnés d'un Bearish Harami Cross et d'un Northern Doji. Ces signaux indiquent collectivement une pression vendeuse et une possible continuation de la tendance baissière. La tendance sur les unités de temps montre un alignement baissier sur 4H, 8H, 12H et 1D, le 4H étant une tendance solide (force 3/5). Cependant, les unités de temps plus courtes (15m, 30m, 1h) sont actuellement haussières, ce qui indique un possible rebond à court terme ou une consolidation contre le biais baissier plus large.

Les niveaux clés à surveiller sont la résistance immédiate à 84352.00 et le support à 81033.66. Une cassure sous le support confirmerait le momentum baissier, tandis qu'un mouvement au-dessus de la résistance pourrait invalider la configuration baissière. La présence d'un AO Saucer Bullish ajoute une note de prudence, suggérant un possible momentum haussier en construction, mais la confluence globale des indicateurs baissiers sur le 4H et les unités de temps supérieures soutient le signal de vente. Les traders doivent surveiller l'action des prix autour de ces niveaux pour confirmation.

Catalyseurs

▼ Plusieurs signaux baissiers (BOP, EMA, SMA, ligne de tendance) se déclenchent simultanément.
▼ La tendance 4H est solidement baissière (3/5), avec les unités de temps supérieures également baissières.
▼ Les modèles de chandeliers baissiers (Bearish Harami Cross, Northern Doji) ajoutent de la confluence.
▼ Le prix est sous la résistance la plus proche, renforçant le biais baissier.

Facteurs de risque

▲ Les unités de temps inférieures sont haussières, ce qui pourrait conduire à un rebond à court terme.
▲ AO Saucer Bullish indique un momentum haussier potentiel, en conflit avec le signal baissier.
▲ Si le prix casse au-dessus de 84352.00, la configuration baissière est invalidée.
▲ Les tendances agitées/neutres sur 8H et 12H suggèrent un manque de momentum fort.