ETH/BTC – 12H – ACHAT

ACHAT 1× ACTUALISÉ

2026-10-15 12:00 UTC il y a 1 jour

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.10 %

Entry

0.02971

Target

0.03253 +9.49 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.02945 −0.88 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 9

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 53 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average +0.14 % per trade 489 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 489 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +5.44 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +4.00 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.90 % 16 % at stop avg −7.11 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: fewer than 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 26 of 100 across all crypto 12h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), CMO OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit +9 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −31.2 vs previous candle

WEAK Position

▲ Bullish 95 % (21.13) ▼ Bearish 5 % (1.15)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.0 % vs 32.5 % on average · stopped out 30.9 % vs 21.6 % (crypto, 1,619 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 00:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.80
▲	CMO OS Exit	indicator	1.70
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.69
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.65
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.65
▲	RSX OS Exit	indicator	1.60
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.43
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.38
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.35
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.33
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.31
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.30

Trend Context

15M

UPTendance solide

30M

UPTendance solide

DOWNTendance solide

DOWNTendance très forte

12H

DOWNTendance solide

Analysis

🎯 Points clés

Les oscillateurs survendus sortent tous en même temps, ce qui suggère qu'un fort rebond à court terme est probable.
Le signal 12H est très fort (probabilité de 89 %) mais les périodes plus élevées (8H, 1D) sont toujours baissières, traitez donc cela comme un rebond contre-tendance.
Surveillez la résistance à 0,03253 ; une clôture au-dessus pourrait faire pencher la tendance à moyen terme.
Le support à 0,02945 est le niveau d'invalidation clé pour ce signal haussier.

Le graphique ETH/BTC en 12H affiche un signal d'ACHAT très fort (probabilité de 89 %) alors que plusieurs oscillateurs sortent simultanément de la zone de survente. Le BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO OS Exit, RSI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit et KDJ Cross Up confirment tous un changement de dynamique de baissier à haussier. De plus, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up et ER Level Cross Down indiquent que la dynamique baissière s'estompe et que le prix commence à se redresser depuis la bande inférieure. Ce groupe de signaux de sortie de survente suggère un rebond potentiel à court terme.

Cependant, la tendance plus large sur les différentes périodes est majoritairement baissière, avec le 8H montrant une tendance à la baisse très forte et le 1D également baissier. Les 15M et 30M sont devenus haussiers, laissant entrevoir un possible retournement à court terme, mais les périodes plus élevées restent dominantes. Les niveaux clés à surveiller sont la résistance la plus proche à 0,03253 et le support à 0,02945. Une cassure au-dessus de la résistance pourrait signaler un retournement plus important, tandis qu'un échec à maintenir le support invaliderait le signal haussier.

Catalyseurs

▲ Confluence de plusieurs signaux de sortie de survente (RSI, CMO, WILLR, STOCH, KDJ) se déclenchant tous ensemble.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indique que la pression d'achat revient.
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up montre que le prix rebondit sur la bande inférieure, un indice classique de retournement.
▲ Les périodes à court terme (15M, 30M) sont déjà devenues haussières, soutenant le rebond.

Facteurs de risque

▼ La tendance dominante sur 4H, 8H et 1D est baissière, donc le rebond pourrait être de courte durée et s'estomper.
▼ Si le prix ne parvient pas à se maintenir au-dessus du support à 0,02945, le signal haussier est invalidé.
▼ La dynamique pourrait stagner à la résistance la plus proche de 0,03253, surtout si la tendance 1H reste baissière.
▼ Le signal est basé sur des conditions de survente ; de tels signaux peuvent être précoces dans une forte tendance baissière.