SOL/BTC – 4H – VENTE

VENTE 2× ACTUALISÉ
il y a 18 heures
The plan for this signal Running · now −1.54 %
Entry
0.001266
Target
0.001255 +0.85 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.001347 −6.39 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 12
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 56 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.08 % per trade 1,303 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,303 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
31 % at target avg +2.78 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.82 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.92 % 19 % at stop avg −4.01 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 15 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
39.0 % ↑ +1.0 vs previous candle
WEAK Swing
▲ Bullish 21 % (4.15) ▼ Bearish 79 % (15.44)
model score 14.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 5 candles
SOL/BTC  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 5 × 4h 14%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Oct 2026, 04:02 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.97
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.63
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.57
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.55
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.49
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.34
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.31
▲ RSI OS Entry indicator 1.22
▼ Last Engulfing Bottom candlestick 1.22
▼ AROON Strong Downtrend indicator 0.82

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTendance solide
30M
DOWNSans direction
1H
DOWNTendance naissante
2H
DOWNTendance solide
4H
DOWNTendance très forte
8H
DOWNTendance très forte
12H
DOWNTendance solide
1D
DOWNTendance naissante

Analysis

🎯 Points clés
  • Forte alignement baissier sur plusieurs périodes, avec le 4H et le 8H en tête de tendance.
  • Groupe dense de signaux baissiers confirmant la pression vendeuse et le momentum.
  • Surveillez le support à 0,00126 ; une cassure pourrait accélérer la baisse.
  • La résistance à 0,00135 est le niveau clé à surveiller pour tout retournement.
Le graphique 4H pour SOL/BTC a déclenché un groupe dense de signaux baissiers, mené par un Aroon Strong Downtrend et de multiples replis sur les points médians/prix médians. Le croisement zéro à la baisse du BOP confirme la pression vendeuse, tandis que l'entrée en survente du RSI et le croisement à la baisse du Stochastic KD suggèrent que le momentum est toujours aligné à la baisse. Le repli du prix MAMA et le croisement en phase du phasor HT ajoutent une confirmation cyclique, renforçant le biais baissier à travers plusieurs familles d'indicateurs.

Sur les différentes périodes, la tendance est constamment baissière, avec le 4H et le 8H montrant des tendances très fortes (4/5) et le 15m, 2h et 12h solidement baissiers. Le 1H et le 1D sont en formation de tendance mais toujours négatifs, et seul le 30m est hésitant. Cet alignement suggère que le mouvement baissier actuel est bien soutenu. Niveaux clés à surveiller : résistance la plus proche à 0,00135 et support à 0,00126. Une cassure sous le support pourrait étendre le déclin, tandis qu'une reprise de la résistance signalerait un retournement potentiel.
Catalyseurs
  • ▼ Aroon Strong Downtrend indique une tendance baissière claire et soutenue.
  • ▼ Le croisement zéro à la baisse du BOP confirme que la pression vendeuse domine.
  • ▼ De multiples replis sur les points médians et prix médians renforcent le mouvement baissier.
  • ▼ Tendances baissières cohérentes sur les périodes 15m, 2h, 4h, 8h et 12h.
Facteurs de risque
  • ▲ L'entrée en survente du RSI suggère que le marché pourrait être dû pour un rebond, ce qui pourrait freiner le déclin.
  • ▲ La période 30m est hésitante/indécise, indiquant une indécision à court terme.
  • ▲ Une cassure au-dessus de la résistance à 0,00135 invaliderait le scénario baissier.
  • ▲ La tendance 1D est seulement en formation, donc un retournement journalier pourrait surpasser les signaux des périodes inférieures.
Symbol SOL/BTC
Timeframe 4H
Direction VENTE
Conviction 14%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-15 00:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.00135 2026-10-12
R2 0.00142 2026-10-06
R3 0.00143 2026-10-04
S1 0.00126 2026-10-13

Tags

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