BTC/USDT – 12H – VENTE

VENTE 2× ACTUALISÉ

2026-10-16 12:00 UTC il y a 1 jour

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.13 %

Entry

81,615.64

Target

80,393.56 +1.50 %

closes in profit

Stop

87,220.00 −6.87 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 9

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 53 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average +0.19 % per trade 500 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 500 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +5.45 % 28 % holding time ended, in profit avg +4.05 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.90 % 16 % at stop avg −6.98 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 65 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 25 of 100 across all crypto 12h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, DEMA Retreat Down, SMI Signal Cross Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 24,143 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

60.1 % ↓ −2.8 vs previous candle

WEAK Position

▲ Bullish 26 % (6.73) ▼ Bearish 74 % (19.46)

model score 74.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (17 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.57
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.97
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.92
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.42
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.26
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.25
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.17
▼	Last Engulfing Bottom	candlestick	1.07
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.97
▼	Last Engulfing Top	candlestick	0.80

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSans direction

30M

DOWNSans direction

DOWNTendance naissante

DOWNTendance très forte

DOWNSans direction

12H

DOWNSans direction

DOWNTendance naissante

Analysis

🎯 Points clés

Alignement baissier fort sur plusieurs indicateurs sur le graphique 12H.
La tendance 4H est très fortement baissière, mais les autres horizons sont hésitants – attendez-vous à d'éventuels replis.
Surveillez le support le plus proche à 80393,56 ; une cassure pourrait ouvrir la voie à une baisse supplémentaire.
La résistance à 87220 est l'obstacle immédiat pour tout rebond.

Le signal BTC/USDT en 12H est fermement baissier, avec une probabilité de 94 % et une force très élevée. La confluence de plusieurs groupes d'indicateurs – notamment BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, DEMA et EMA Retreat Down, et HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down – indique une pression de vente soutenue. Les croisements baissiers du KDJ et du SMI confirment en outre que la dynamique s'oriente à la baisse. Bien que l'horizon temporel 4H montre une tendance baissière très forte, d'autres horizons (15 min à 2 h, 8 h, 12 h, 1 j) sont surtout hésitants ou en formation de tendance, ce qui suggère que le mouvement baissier pourrait en être à ses débuts ou faire face à une consolidation. La résistance clé se situe à 87220 et le support à 80393,56 ; une cassure sous le support pourrait accélérer le déclin.

Catalyseurs

▼ Confluence de plus de 10 signaux baissiers sur les groupes de chandeliers et d'indicateurs.
▼ Score de tendance très fort (4/5) sur l'horizon 4H soutenant le mouvement.
▼ Plusieurs oscillateurs de momentum (STOCHF, KDJ, SMI) croisent à la baisse simultanément.
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indique une cassure d'une ligne de tendance d'un horizon supérieur.

Facteurs de risque

▲ Les horizons supérieurs (8H, 12H) ne sont que hésitants/neutres, pas fortement baissiers – cela pourrait signifier un suivi limité.
▲ Si le prix reste au-dessus de la résistance à 87220, le signal baissier pourrait s'affaiblir.
▲ Le momentum pourrait s'estomper si la tendance 4H perd de sa force ; surveillez une clôture au-dessus de la ligne de tendance.
▲ Le support proche à 80393,56 pourrait agir comme un plancher, provoquant un rebond.