BTC/USDT – 2H – ACHAT

ACHAT 4× ACTUALISÉ

2026-10-22 18:00 UTC il y a 20 heures

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.32 %

Entry

81,494.39

Target

84,898.00 +4.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

80,684.36 −0.99 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 10 of 14

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 2h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 2,883 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,883 closed crypto 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.11 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.17 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.21 % 21 % at stop avg −2.95 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: fewer than 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 2h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KDJ OS Exit, Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), CCI OS Exit +5 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

42.8 % ↓ −23.3 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +30% Intraday

▲ Bullish 90 % (31.17) ▼ Bearish 10 % (3.62)

model score 24.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 11 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.6 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 39.1 % vs 22.3 % (crypto, 1,684 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 20:02 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	1.85
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.77
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.73
▼	EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	1.72
▼	KST Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.70
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.65
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.50
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	0.90
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	0.76
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	0.76

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTendance solide

30M

DOWNTendance très forte

DOWNTendance solide

DOWNTendance naissante

DOWNSans direction

12H

DOWNSans direction

UPSans direction

Analysis

🎯 Points clés

Signaux de rebond haussiers sur 2H, mais la plupart des timeframes sont baissières – traiter comme contre-tendance.
Surveiller la résistance à 84898 : une cassure au-dessus pourrait étendre le rebond, tandis que 81200 est le niveau d'invalidation clé.
Signaux mixtes (death cross) et force modérée suggèrent un upside limité et la nécessité d'un contrôle strict des risques.
Utiliser le rebond pour des longs à court terme, pas un changement de tendance.

Le signal 2H BTC/USDT déclenche un groupe d'indicateurs haussiers de momentum et de mean-reversion (BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, KDJ OS Exit, ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat, KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat) sur fond de tendances baissières sur la plupart des timeframes. Cela suggère un rebond de contre-tendance potentiel plutôt qu'un renversement complet. Le EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross et le KST Zero Cross Down ajoutent de la prudence, impliquant que la tendance baissière plus large reste intacte. La confluence des sorties de survente et des retraits de bande inférieure pointe vers une opportunité de rebond à court terme, mais la baissièreté des timeframes supérieures (1H et 30M très fortes) plaide pour un upside limité.

Niveaux clés à surveiller : résistance la plus proche à 84898 et support à 81200. Un mouvement au-dessus de la résistance confirmerait l'intention haussière, tandis qu'une cassure sous le support invaliderait le rebond et reprendrait probablement la tendance baissière. La force modérée (71%) et les signaux mixtes (y compris un death cross) suggèrent que les traders devraient traiter cela comme un long tactique dans une structure baissière plus large, avec une gestion stricte des risques et une prise de bénéfices rapide.

L'alignement des tendances sur les timeframes est majoritairement baissier, seul le 1D montrant une haussièreté hachée. Cette divergence souligne la nature de contre-tendance du signal. L'inclusion du groupe Fibonacci suggère des niveaux de retracement potentiels, mais sans niveaux explicites, la résistance/support la plus proche restent les guides principaux.

Catalyseurs

▲ Confluence de sorties de survente (CCI, KDJ) et de retraits de bande inférieure (ACCBANDS, KELTNER) sur plusieurs indicateurs.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up et STOCHF KD Cross Up ajoutent une confirmation de momentum.
▲ Probabilité modérée (71%) et plusieurs groupes de signaux (candlestick, indicateur, fibonacci) augmentent la confiance dans un rebond.
▲ Le support le plus proche à 81200 est proche, fournissant un niveau d'invalidation clair.

Facteurs de risque

▼ Tendances baissières fortes sur 30m, 1h et 2h pourraient submerger le rebond.
▼ EMA 20/50 Death Cross et KST Zero Cross Down sont baissiers et pourraient limiter l'upside.
▼ Si le prix casse sous 81200, le rebond est invalidé et la tendance baissière reprend probablement.
▼ La résistance à 84898 est proche et pourrait agir comme un plafond, limitant le potentiel de profit.