USD/JPY – 1H – ACHAT

ACHAT 3× ACTUALISÉ

2026-10-23 13:00 UTC il y a 10 heures

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.06 %

Entry

156.743

Target

158.344 +1.02 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.075 −0.43 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 7 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, BOP Zero Cross Up +2 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 78 % (32.04) ▼ Bearish 22 % (8.99)

model score 3.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.9 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 720 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	2.09
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.82
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.75
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.72
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.41
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.03
▲	Closing Marubozu Bullish	candlestick	1.01

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTendance naissante

30M

DOWNSans direction

DOWNTendance solide

DOWNSans direction

12H

DOWNSans direction

Analysis

🎯 Points clés

Signal 1H haussier mais probabilité faible (62 %) et force faible.
Toutes les périodes supérieures (30m à 1d) sont baissières, créant un contexte contradictoire.
Niveaux clés : résistance à 158.344, support à 156.075.
Surveillez la confirmation au-dessus de 158.344 et l'invalidation en dessous de 156.075.

Le signal 1H USD/JPY déclenche un ensemble d'indicateurs haussiers malgré une tendance baissière plus large sur la plupart des périodes. Le BOP Zero Cross Up et le STOCHF KD Cross Up suggèrent un élan précoce en faveur des acheteurs, tandis que le HT SINE Cross Down et le ER Level Cross Down sont des signaux contraires qui marquent souvent l'épuisement du mouvement précédent. Le ERI BULL Zero Cross Down et le ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indiquent que le marché a peut-être été survendu et revient maintenant à la moyenne. Le TTM TREND Trend Up et la bougie haussière Closing Marubozu ajoutent une confirmation d'une tentative de retournement à court terme.

Cependant, l'alignement est mauvais : toutes les périodes de 30m à 1d montrent des tendances baissières, seule 15m montre une tendance baissière en formation. Les périodes 1H, 2H et 4H ont toutes des tendances baissières solides (3/5), ce qui plaide contre une hausse soutenue. Le signal est faible (probabilité de 62 %) et la résistance la plus proche à 158.344 n'est pas loin au-dessus, tandis que le support se situe à 156.075. Pour que ce signal d'achat gagne du terrain, le prix doit se maintenir au-dessus du support de 156.075 et franchir la résistance de 158.344 ; un échec invaliderait probablement le scénario haussier.

Catalyseurs

▲ Plusieurs indicateurs haussiers ont été déclenchés ensemble (BOP, STOCHF, TTM TREND, Marubozu).
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit suggère que les conditions de survente pourraient s'inverser.
▲ Le modèle de bougie haussière (Closing Marubozu) ajoute une confirmation par l'action des prix.
▲ La résistance la plus proche est relativement proche, offrant un objectif de cassure clair.

Facteurs de risque

▼ Les périodes supérieures (1H, 2H, 4H) sont toutes dans des tendances baissières solides, en conflit avec le signal d'achat.
▼ La force du signal est faible et la probabilité n'est que de 62 %.
▼ Si le prix ne parvient pas à se maintenir au-dessus de 156.075, la configuration haussière est invalidée.
▼ La résistance à 158.344 pourrait plafonner le potentiel de hausse si la tendance baissière plus large se réaffirme.