LUNC/USDT – 2H – VENTE

VENTE 3× ACTUALISÉ

2026-10-27 04:00 UTC il y a 21 heures

The plan for this signal Running · now −1.79 %

Entry

0.00004462

Target

0.00004350 +2.51 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.00004674 −4.75 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 11 of 14

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 2h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 3,142 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,142 closed crypto 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.08 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.10 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.17 % 22 % at stop avg −2.86 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: fewer than 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 2h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MA Break Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, HMA Break Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,782 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

39.0 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 7 % (1.09) ▼ Bearish 93 % (14.11)

model score 15.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 11 candles

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Signal evolution

Evenements pour LUNC/USDT

Calendrier complet

14:30Aujourd'huiUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Prevision -2.067MPrecedent -3.060Mdans 10 h
18:00Aujourd'huiUSDFed Interest Rate Decision●●●Precedent 4.00%dans 14 h
18:30Aujourd'huiUSDFOMC Press Conference●●●dans 14 h

Toutes les heures UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (27 Oct 2026, 06:02 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MA Break Down	indicator	2.86
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.48
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.30
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.13
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.06
▼	EMA Break Down	indicator	2.00
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.76
▲	AROON Cross Up	indicator	1.47
▲	AROONOSC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.47
▲	AROON Strong Uptrend	indicator	1.40
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.97
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	0.97
▲	Takuri Line	candlestick	0.86
▲	Dragonfly Doji	candlestick	0.80

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSans direction

30M

DOWNSans direction

UPSans direction

DOWNTendance solide

12H

DOWNTendance très forte

DOWNTendance solide

Analysis

🎯 Points clés

Le momentum baissier est fort sur les timeframes inférieurs, mais la tendance haussière sur 2H/4H crée un conflit.
Niveaux clés à surveiller : résistance à 0.00005, support à 0.00004 ; une cassure sous le support confirme la baisse.
Plusieurs ruptures (EMA, MA, MAMA PRICE, T3) signalent une perte de support dynamique.
Les tendances des timeframes supérieurs (8H, 12H, 1D) sont baissières, donnant du poids au signal SELL.

Le signal SELL sur LUN/CUSDT au timeframe 2H est entraîné par un groupe d'indicateurs baissiers, notamment AROON Cross Up, AROON Strong Uptrend et AROONOSC Zero Cross Up, qui suggèrent ensemble un changement de momentum à court terme. Cependant, la rupture de l'EMA, de la MA, du MAMA PRICE et du T3 sous leurs niveaux respectifs indique que le prix est tombé sous les supports dynamiques clés, renforçant la position baissière. La force du signal est élevée (probabilité de 75 %), mais les timeframes supérieurs (2H et 4H) sont toujours haussiers, bien que agités, ce qui introduit un conflit qui pourrait limiter le potentiel de baisse.

À travers les timeframes, la tendance est principalement baissière sur 15m, 30m, 1h, 8h, 12h et 1d, avec 8h et 12h montrant des tendances solides à très fortes. Cet alignement sur plusieurs timeframes inférieurs et supérieurs soutient le cas baissier, mais les lectures haussières sur 2H et 4H sont une divergence notable. La résistance la plus proche à 0.00005 et le support à 0.00004 définissent une fourchette étroite ; une cassure sous le support pourrait accélérer la baisse, tandis qu'une reconquête de la résistance invaliderait le signal. Les traders doivent surveiller ces niveaux de près pour confirmation.

Catalyseurs

▼ L'alignement des tendances sur 15m, 30m, 1h, 8h, 12h et 1d est baissier, renforçant le signal.
▼ Des scores de tendance forts sur 8h (3/5) et 12h (4/5) indiquent un momentum baissier solide.
▼ La confluence de plusieurs ruptures d'indicateurs (EMA, MA, MAMA PRICE, T3) suggère une pression de vente généralisée.
▼ Les indicateurs AROON (Cross Up, Strong Uptrend, Zero Cross Up) confirment un changement de momentum.

Facteurs de risque

▲ Les timeframes 2H et 4H sont toujours haussiers, ce qui pourrait contrer le signal baissier si le momentum des timeframes supérieurs persiste.
▲ L'action des prix agitée/latérale (score de tendance 1/5) sur la plupart des timeframes indique une faible conviction et un potentiel de whipsaws.
▲ Une reconquête du niveau de résistance à 0.00005 invaliderait la rupture et pourrait déclencher un rebond.
▲ Le momentum qui s'estompe sur les timeframes inférieurs (15m-1h) pourrait réduire la probabilité d'une baisse soutenue.