BTC/USDT – 4H – VENTE

VENTE 2× ACTUALISÉ

2026-10-29 00:00 UTC il y a 18 heures

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.87 %

Entry

79,858.01

Target

79,220.74 +0.80 %

closes in profit

Stop

84,898.00 −6.31 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 4 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.02 % per trade 1,758 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,758 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.66 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.82 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.85 % 21 % at stop avg −3.70 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 20 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: VIDYA Break Down, SAR Flip Bearish, EMA 200 Retreat Down +24 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.2 % ↑ +19.3 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 32 % (7.41) ▼ Bearish 68 % (15.82)

model score 68.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 5 candles

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Signal evolution

Evenements pour BTC/USDT

Calendrier complet

13:45DemainUSDMNI Chicago Business Barometer●●○Prevision 61.3Precedent 58.8dans 15 h
15:002 novembre 2026USDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Prevision 80.7Precedent 77.9dans 3 jours
15:002 novembre 2026USDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Prevision 54.7Precedent 54.5dans 3 jours

Toutes les heures UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 04:02 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	VIDYA Break Down	indicator	2.64
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	2.59
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.20
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.18
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.05
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.98
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.78
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.75
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.71
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.71
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.71
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	DPO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.34
▼	TSI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.28
▼	MACD Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.21
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.17
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.16
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	0.93
▼	Long Line Bearish	candlestick	0.76

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTendance solide

30M

DOWNTendance solide

DOWNTendance naissante

12H

DOWNSans direction

Analysis

🎯 Points clés

Le momentum baissier est fort sur le 4H, avec plusieurs signaux de passage à zéro et de croisement à la baisse alignés.
La tendance est baissière sur toutes les périodes jusqu'à 8H, bien que les périodes plus élevées soient agitées.
Surveillez le support le plus proche à 79220.74 ; une cassure pourrait ouvrir davantage de baisse.
La résistance à 84898.00 est la zone d'invalidation ; la reconquérir annulerait le signal baissier.

Le signal 4H BTC/USDT a déclenché un groupe dense d'indicateurs de momentum baissier, notamment CCI OB Exit, CMO Zero Cross Down, MACD Zero Cross Down et plusieurs ruptures de passage à zéro (MOM, ROC, ROCR). Cette convergence indique un fort passage de conditions de surachat à un momentum baissier, les croisements à la baisse DI et DM confirmant le flux directionnel baissier. Le groupe de chandeliers ajoute une couche de confirmation, suggérant que l'action des prix s'aligne sur la vente technique.

L'alignement des tendances sur les périodes est majoritairement baissier, avec les périodes 15m et 30m montrant des tendances solides (3/5) et les périodes de 1H à 8H toutes baissières (2/5). Les périodes plus élevées (12H et 1D) sont agitées/latérales, ce qui tempère la conviction globale mais ne contredit pas le momentum des périodes inférieures. Le support le plus proche à 79220.74 est la cible clé à la baisse, tandis que la résistance à 84898.00 constitue l'obstacle immédiat. Une cassure sous le support accélérerait probablement le déclin, tandis qu'une reconquête de la résistance invaliderait la configuration baissière.

Catalyseurs

▼ Confluence de plus de 20 indicateurs baissiers, y compris MACD, MOM, ROC et CCI OB Exit.
▼ Les croisements à la baisse DI et DM confirment le mouvement directionnel baissier.
▼ L'alignement des tendances sur les périodes de 15m à 8H soutient le scénario baissier.
▼ Probabilité de signal forte (90 %) et évaluation de force très forte.

Facteurs de risque

▲ Les périodes plus élevées (12H, 1D) sont agitées/latérales, ce qui pourrait limiter la poursuite de la baisse.
▲ Une reconquête de la résistance à 84898 invaliderait la configuration baissière.
▲ Le momentum pourrait s'estomper si le prix stagne au-dessus du support, conduisant à une consolidation.
▲ Les signaux de sortie de surachat peuvent parfois précéder un rebond plutôt qu'un déclin soutenu.