USD/JPY – 1H – VENTE

VENTE 4× ACTUALISÉ

2026-10-29 15:00 UTC il y a 11 heures

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.29 %

Entry

157.821

Target

156.649 +0.74 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.336 −0.33 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 11 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,345 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,345 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, MA Retreat Down +17 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +60% Intraday

▲ Bullish 10 % (6.44) ▼ Bearish 90 % (60.84)

model score 19.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 12 candles

Loading…

Signal evolution

Evenements pour USD/JPY

Calendrier complet

05:30Aujourd'huiJPYBoJ Interest Rate Decision●●●Precedent 1.3%dans 2 h
05:30Aujourd'huiJPYBoJ Outlook Report●●○dans 2 h
05:30Aujourd'huiJPYBoJ Monetary Policy Statement●●○dans 2 h

Toutes les heures UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.34
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.77
▲	QQE Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.76
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.70
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.69
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.68
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.67
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.64
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.61
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.58
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.54
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.14
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.13
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.03
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.90
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.68

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSans direction

30M

DOWNSans direction

UPSans direction

DOWNSans direction

UPSans direction

12H

DOWNSans direction

Analysis

🎯 Points clés

Signal de momentum baissier fort sur 1H avec plusieurs indicateurs alignés.
Les timeframes supérieurs sont surtout baissiers mais instables—le momentum est faible.
Surveillez la résistance la plus proche à 158.33600 et le support à 157.60300.
Les tendances haussières contradictoires sur 2H et 8H peuvent limiter la baisse.

Le signal USD/JPY 1H déclenche un groupe dense d'indicateurs de momentum baissier—BOP, CCI, MACD, MOM, ROC et ROCR franchissent tous zéro ou signalent une baisse, accompagnés de replis de DEMA et EMA. Cette confluence suggère un changement synchronisé dans le momentum et l'alignement des tendances sur le timeframe 1H, indiquant une probable continuation du biais baissier prédominant. La probabilité de 86% et la force très élevée reflètent l'ampleur du signal à travers plusieurs groupes (fibonacci, indicateur, chandelier), renforçant l'idée que le mouvement actuel est soutenu par un large éventail de preuves techniques.

Sur les timeframes supérieurs, la tendance est majoritairement baissière, bien que la nature instable/latérale (1/5) indique un momentum faible et un potentiel de consolidation. La résistance la plus proche à 158.33600 est un niveau clé à surveiller—si le prix ne parvient pas à rester en dessous, le scénario baissier s'affaiblit. Inversement, le support le plus proche à 157.60300 est la cible baissière immédiate; une cassure en dessous confirmerait le momentum baissier. Les tendances haussières sur 2H et 8H sont contradictoires, suggérant que le biais des timeframes supérieurs n'est pas uniformément baissier, ce qui pourrait limiter la durabilité du mouvement. Les traders devraient surveiller comment le prix interagit avec ces niveaux et si les conditions instables se résolvent en une poussée directionnelle claire.

Catalyseurs

▼ Confluence d'indicateurs de momentum (BOP, CCI, MACD, MOM, ROC, ROCR) tous en baisse.
▼ Alignement des tendances sur les timeframes 15m, 30m, 1h, 4h, 12h et 1d.
▼ Force de signal très élevée et probabilité élevée (86%).

Facteurs de risque

▲ Conditions instables/latérales (1/5) sur tous les timeframes suggèrent un momentum faible.
▲ Les tendances haussières sur 2H et 8H contredisent le biais baissier.
▲ Si le prix reprend la résistance à 158.33600, le signal baissier est invalidé.
▲ Le support proche à 157.60300 peut agir comme un plancher et ralentir le mouvement.