AUD/JPY – 2H – ACHAT

ACHAT Contre-tendance 5× ACTUALISÉ

2026-11-12 18:00 UTC il y a 17 heures

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.05 %

Entry

108.747

Target

109.566 +0.75 %

closes in profit

Stop

108.237 −0.47 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 8 of 14

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,136 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,136 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.42 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.22 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.24 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit +2 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 40,288 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↓ −1.7 vs previous candle

MODERATE Intraday

▲ Bullish 81 % (11.73) ▼ Bearish 19 % (2.81)

model score 80.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 9 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.2 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 1,126 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Evenements pour AUD/JPY

Calendrier complet

23:5015 novembre 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Prevision -0.1%Precedent 0.5%dans 2 jours
23:5015 novembre 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Prevision -0.3%Precedent 1.4%dans 2 jours
23:5015 novembre 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Prevision 2.3%Precedent 2.6%dans 2 jours

Toutes les heures UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.98
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.89
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.43
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	0.90
▲	Bullish Harami Cross	candlestick	0.62

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTendance solide

30M

DOWNTendance très forte

DOWNTendance solide

DOWNTendance naissante

DOWNTendance solide

12H

DOWNTendance solide

DOWNSans direction

Analysis

🎯 Points clés

Signaux de retournement haussier sur 2H, mais les périodes supérieures restent baissières.
Surveillez la résistance clé à 109.56600 pour la confirmation haussière.
Le support à 108.67600 est le niveau d'invalidation pour le scénario haussier.
Les indicateurs de momentum (BOP, STOCH) s'alignent avec les modèles de chandeliers de retournement.

Le graphique 2H de l'AUD/JPY présente une confluence de signaux haussiers, malgré la tendance baissière plus large sur la plupart des périodes. Le BOP Zero Cross Up indique une amélioration de la pression acheteuse, tandis que le STOCH KD Cross Up suggère que le momentum se retourne à la hausse après des conditions de survente. Le ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit signale un possible retour à la moyenne après une forte baisse, et les modèles de chandeliers haussiers (Bullish Harami Cross et Long Legged Doji) confirment un possible retournement au plus bas. L'alignement de ces signaux sur la période 2H, où la tendance ne fait que se former (2/5 baissière), suggère qu'un rebond contre-tendance pourrait être en cours.

Cependant, les périodes supérieures (4H, 8H, 12H) restent solidement baissières, ce qui pourrait limiter le potentiel haussier. La résistance la plus proche à 109.56600 est un niveau critique ; une cassure au-dessus signalerait un retournement plus fort, tandis qu'un échec à se maintenir au-dessus du support le plus proche à 108.67600 invaliderait le scénario haussier. Les traders devraient surveiller un changement de momentum sur les périodes supérieures pour confirmer un mouvement plus durable.

Catalyseurs

▲ Plusieurs indicateurs (BOP, STOCH, ZSCORE) convergent vers un retournement haussier.
▲ Les modèles de chandeliers (Bullish Harami Cross, Long Legged Doji) à des plus bas potentiels.
▲ La tendance 2H ne fait que se former baissière, laissant de la place pour un rebond.
▲ Le ZSCORE extrêmement bas suggère des conditions de survente mûres pour un retour à la moyenne.

Facteurs de risque

▼ Les périodes supérieures (4H-12H) sont solidement baissières, susceptibles de limiter le potentiel haussier.
▼ La tendance quotidienne est agitée/neutre, sans direction claire.
▼ L'échec à casser la résistance à 109.56600 pourrait conduire à une autre jambe baissière.
▼ Un mouvement sous 108.67600 invalide le scénario haussier.